Shockwave Rider'
Welcome back. How was the cruising?
Laurencewill -- I did so many dumb things with individual stocks I have lost count. Like selling Berkshire Hathaway at $5,500-- a 17-year low, back in the early 90s.
I came to realize that even if I heard a good story, did some analysis, read a Barron's article that made perfect sense to me yada yada, once I owned the thing and it actually went up a bit (surprisingly they often do for a little while), that I didn't have a clue when to sell, or why to sell or why to keep owning something.
How can you have a clue? Even people who work there usually don't know. Analysts don't know. CEOs might know but they can't do anything about it. Nobody really knows, because here's what is always lurking on the downside for any individual stock:
Some idiot over in the 14th cubicle over from the window on the third floor of the accounting department starts cooking up something with the clown in the 17th cubicle three rows over, and a year later the whole multibillion dollar edifice drops 27% in value.
Or more to the point, one more poor old soul in intensive care unit 432b on the 11th floor in a hospital in Louisville Kentucky dies this morning and your investment falls 60%.
No company or stock is immune from this.
Value stocks are great, but how do you know if you are in a value play (tyco) or a value trap (enron)?
Funds are the only way to ride through all this stuff and get the returns due the asset class, which, overall, still are prety good.
Seems to me you got off really, really cheap if you can learn the low-cost fund, buy and hold, rebalance once-a-year lesson just by getting canned by one Irish pharmaco.
You lucky dog!!