Missing the good old days!

ducky911

Recycles dryer sheets
Joined
May 18, 2010
Messages
497
When you could do some selling and harvest some losses.


Not wishing for a 25% down turn (knock on wood)...But this money making balanced index funds thing is profitable, low risk and boring!
 
When you could do some selling and harvest some losses.

Not wishing for a 25% down turn (knock on wood)...But this money making balanced index funds thing is profitable, low risk and boring!
I've traveled, raced sports cars, flown light airplanes, and competed in bullseye pistol to alleviate boredom. The idea of entertaining myself by doing stupid things with my investments faded and died as I learned how really stupid it is to try to beat the market. So, .... boring is good. We look at rebalancing about once a year and in many years we do nothing.
 
I'd much rather have the "boring days" of portfolio gains and taxes than the ol' days" of tax loss harvesting. There is nothing good about a portfolio loss and those nice big tax losses came with a real bad feeling in the pit of my stomach. :)
 
Boring is good. Tax loss harvesting is making the best of a bad situation. YMMV
 
I also would rather see minuscule gains with dividends ( if any) instead of crush. I am sure there are people who withdrew from the Market in anticipation of crush so they are ready to get in again. What worries me that if the crush would happen, the Fed's, with $4.5 trillion balance sheet will not be able to save the economy like after 2008.
 
To quote Billy Joel --

"the good ole days weren't always good
and tomorrow ain't as bad as it seems".
 
He doesn't sing a doom and gloom tune in the video interview below the article.

I realized that too. It's like the write up, which quoted him, was a completely different conversation from the video interview.
 
Similar statement we heard from other permanent bears like Peter Schif, Mark Faber, Jim Rickards, David Stockman etc. So far the Feds actions are keeping inflation and Market stable, yet there is $4.5 trillions on their balance sheet with only talk that they somehow in a future will sell those "bad assets" , purchased to avoid much greater disaster in 2008. Most economists agree that they will not be able to bail out the system in case of next major financial crises. Only IMF has a clear balance sheet and capable of bail out similar or greater then 2008. Most likely the US$ will plunge and in that case high inflation will keep assets at present or higher dollar value.
 
I never heard of this guy. From a Google search it looks like he started as a rich kid, then got lucky for a few years 40 years ago. After that it looks like he makes so many forecasts that once in a while he hits.

Wikipedia says he started a fund "Rogers Global Resources Equity Index" about 5 years ago. It seems to be gone. The closest I can find is "Taishin Rogers Global Resources Equity Index Core Index," which has been a spectacular loser.

Interestingly Nate Silver's data (the signal and the noise) says that guys like this typically make worse than average predictions. Silver's speculation is that they get air time because they make extreme forecasts and are thus more entertaining than better forecasters.

Is there a track record that says his predictions are more accurate than any of the other chattering monkeys? People listen to him because ??
 
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