Rustward
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Apr 19, 2006
- Messages
- 1,684
As noted in my update, all of my annual rates are expressed as a percentage of my initial portfolio value when I retired. This is based on the methodology used in the classic Trinity 4% SWR study, which made no mention of using anything other than the initial portfolio value in the calculation.
I fully understand the Trinity Study and what you are doing; I am not saying that it is wrong or right.
The part I have a difficult time subscribing to is the fact that the withdrawal rate is based on the initial portfolio value -- one value from one day. Twenty or thirty or more years into retirement, you will be using a portfolio value from many years prior (with inflation adjustments) to determine your annual draw. And that might work well.
Maybe it's just me, but I view each day/month/quarter/year as the beginning of the "remainder" of retirement. The factors that go into determining SWR are current portfolio value, age, life expectancy, pensions and SS benefits, plus any other factors that may come into play, like family situation, etc.
Maybe I am trying to put too fine a point on this, and should just take the Trinity Study as a "general reference".
Maybe you will be living it up while I am stuck trying to figure this out.