wabmester
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Dec 6, 2003
- Messages
- 4,459
It's time again for me to embrace my inner bear.
I was looking at the housing inventory data. We just got a nice spike in several markets. After a few months of declining inventory, it looks like we've already passed the peak of last summer, and it's only March!
So, I said to my wife, "Look, Honey, a perfect storm is brewing in housing. Inventory is spiking just as credit is being tightened." (I've read that the new lender underwriting guidelines might knock a million potential buyers out of the market.)
So, she asked me if it's time to go back to work.
Hmm, I said. If one wanted to get a job, this would be a good time to get one while employment demand is still high. But we should be OK. Even if this spilled over to the larger economy and the stock market dropped by 50%, we have a large cushion.
The only thing that would really sting is a housing crash followed by a stock market crash followed by high inflation. That would hurt. And given the current state of globalization, it'd probably hurt world-wide. But we'd probably recover after 20 years or so.
In 20 years, I'll be 65 -- the traditional retirement age. Ugh.
Not a prediction. Just some late-night musings at the Wab home....
I was looking at the housing inventory data. We just got a nice spike in several markets. After a few months of declining inventory, it looks like we've already passed the peak of last summer, and it's only March!
So, I said to my wife, "Look, Honey, a perfect storm is brewing in housing. Inventory is spiking just as credit is being tightened." (I've read that the new lender underwriting guidelines might knock a million potential buyers out of the market.)
So, she asked me if it's time to go back to work.
Hmm, I said. If one wanted to get a job, this would be a good time to get one while employment demand is still high. But we should be OK. Even if this spilled over to the larger economy and the stock market dropped by 50%, we have a large cushion.
The only thing that would really sting is a housing crash followed by a stock market crash followed by high inflation. That would hurt. And given the current state of globalization, it'd probably hurt world-wide. But we'd probably recover after 20 years or so.
In 20 years, I'll be 65 -- the traditional retirement age. Ugh.
Not a prediction. Just some late-night musings at the Wab home....