Retireby45ish
Recycles dryer sheets
- Joined
- Dec 8, 2018
- Messages
- 209
I started thinking that with these lower rates it might be worth refinancing our mortgage. However here is my situation.
1)
Have a 7 year ARM now at 3.75%. Currently 5 years left. A 99% chance we move before then..probably more like 2 years from now. Is it worth refinancing? Will the costs
of the process be large (can I negotiate with same lender lower for no costs?), and outweigh the benefits for the next 24 or so months which is my estimated timetable? About a 350k mortgage amt.
2)
Then, with the dicey market outlook and what I view as a larger chance of a subdued return of alternative or bond/CD/stock investments going forward, might it be best to just pay off the mortgage now? I can think of this as putting more money into fixed income bucket of investments.
I have some cash now because I sold out of some assets weeks ago and also just got a bonus and such so that’s not an issue. It’s sitting on the sidelines and I’m about to deploy it anyways over next few weeks into a mix of bond and stock funds.
They way I’m thinking about the return is as follows. I pay 3.75% mortgage but I get some tax benefits of about 10k interest paid. However, including that it just barely was better to itemize rather than for us to take the standard deduction last year, so is the 10k really a factor (bringing the effective rate down to something like 2.75% (a guesstimate). Not sure what that number would be. People always say since you get to write off part of the mortgage interest that’s good but if I’m still taking the standard deduction doesnt this get negated?
3) does it make sense to think of it as a low vol investment?
If it’s 3.75% then it seems attractive alternative to pay it off since I’d need a pre tax 4.5-5% return on bonds or something else (I hold stuff like Hyd or LQD, though I think things like BND might be more efficient) to give me an after tax return of the equivalent 3.75%. I’m in a pretty high tax bracket in a high tax state (for 2 years till I wise up).
Thanks for the help.
1)
Have a 7 year ARM now at 3.75%. Currently 5 years left. A 99% chance we move before then..probably more like 2 years from now. Is it worth refinancing? Will the costs
of the process be large (can I negotiate with same lender lower for no costs?), and outweigh the benefits for the next 24 or so months which is my estimated timetable? About a 350k mortgage amt.
2)
Then, with the dicey market outlook and what I view as a larger chance of a subdued return of alternative or bond/CD/stock investments going forward, might it be best to just pay off the mortgage now? I can think of this as putting more money into fixed income bucket of investments.
I have some cash now because I sold out of some assets weeks ago and also just got a bonus and such so that’s not an issue. It’s sitting on the sidelines and I’m about to deploy it anyways over next few weeks into a mix of bond and stock funds.
They way I’m thinking about the return is as follows. I pay 3.75% mortgage but I get some tax benefits of about 10k interest paid. However, including that it just barely was better to itemize rather than for us to take the standard deduction last year, so is the 10k really a factor (bringing the effective rate down to something like 2.75% (a guesstimate). Not sure what that number would be. People always say since you get to write off part of the mortgage interest that’s good but if I’m still taking the standard deduction doesnt this get negated?
3) does it make sense to think of it as a low vol investment?
If it’s 3.75% then it seems attractive alternative to pay it off since I’d need a pre tax 4.5-5% return on bonds or something else (I hold stuff like Hyd or LQD, though I think things like BND might be more efficient) to give me an after tax return of the equivalent 3.75%. I’m in a pretty high tax bracket in a high tax state (for 2 years till I wise up).
Thanks for the help.