chinaco
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Feb 14, 2007
- Messages
- 5,072
Wifey and I will FIRE @ 55. I have been crunching numbers using the two popular approaches (dollar-adjusted withdrawals or percentage withdrawals).
Look at these links:
http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2006_Issues/jfp0306-art6.cfm?&
http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2004_Issues/jfp1004-art6.cfm?&
I have also run numbers based on a higher withdrawal rate during the early years. The rationale is that we will probably spend less money as we get older... I understand the arguments about increase health care costs, but by the time we age, we will have Medicare. Plus, why hang on to money that might only be used to pay for a nursing home... (although, we need to figure out a strategy to protect the surviving spouse).
For example:
Has anyone seen a detailed study on this type of approach. I suspect that being blessed with good market conditions in the early years would increase the chances of protfolio survival.
Look at these links:
http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2006_Issues/jfp0306-art6.cfm?&
http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2004_Issues/jfp1004-art6.cfm?&
- Fixed Percentage witdrawal of balance portfolio (@ 4%)
- Initial withdrawal % (@ 3.5%) and used that $ amount increased by 3% for inflation each year
I have also run numbers based on a higher withdrawal rate during the early years. The rationale is that we will probably spend less money as we get older... I understand the arguments about increase health care costs, but by the time we age, we will have Medicare. Plus, why hang on to money that might only be used to pay for a nursing home... (although, we need to figure out a strategy to protect the surviving spouse).
For example:
- 55-65 perhaps withdraw 6%
- 65-70 perhaps withdraw 5%
- 70-75 perhaps withdraw 4%
- 75-80 perhaps withdraw 3.5%
- >80 perhaps withdraw 3%
Has anyone seen a detailed study on this type of approach. I suspect that being blessed with good market conditions in the early years would increase the chances of protfolio survival.