first 3 months worst

[perrytime]

I saw a report that says for the last 10 years, the intra-year lows of the market indexes have always occured in the first 3 months, I must admit it has added to my concern to add to my positions, in conjunction with the what everyone says about market, rates, unemployment, etc.

 

[73ss454]

If it's not one thing it's another. Has there ever been a time when someone wasn't saying something about something.

 

[Nords]

I saw a report that says for the last 10 years, the intra-year lows of the market indexes have always occured in the first 3 months, I must admit it has added to my concern to add to my positions, in conjunction with the what everyone says about market, rates, unemployment, etc.

If you provide a link to the report then we could further investigate the concept of "data mining". There's enough stock-market history out there for any "report" to "prove" anything.

If you're concerned at this kind of financial pornography then it may be an indication that you're not comfortable with your current asset allocation. It's worth figuring out what exposure to what types of assets is a good compromise of balanced returns and "sleep at night" comfort. Then you can read this kind of [-]crap[/-] reporting to your heart's content, secure in the knowledge that your asset allocation will get you through just about every scary catastrophe lurking in our anxiety closets.

 

[perrytime]

my bad

I mis-quoted the report, i skimmed it too quickly. It was simply claiming there has been a market top and a decline of 4% or more in first quarter every year last 10 years, not very meaningful, and I spot checked the data and found it was tainted as sometimes it looked backward into DEC to establish the top. being it is a paid for report, shared to me, I cannot post or link it. so never mind me.

 

[LOL!]

I saw a report once that said the market goes up at times and goes down at other times. I spot-checked the data and it was true.

 

[FIRE'd@51]

It was simply claiming there has been a market top and a decline of 4% or more in first quarter every year last 10 years, not very meaningful

This would not be very surprising, since a market volatility of 16% (the current VIX) would imply a 1/3 probability of an 8% move up or down over a 90-day period.

 

[Nords]

I saw a report once that said the market goes up at times and goes down at other times. I spot-checked the data and it was true.

Whoa whoa whoa-- got a link for that technical analysis?!?

(Just kidding.)