- Joined
- Apr 14, 2006
- Messages
- 23,057
You have made some good points. Especially that last one concerning how they view questioning the validity of new claims and ideas. As far as being conservative, I think some do that very well. Their answers are peppered with statements like "based upon what we know today, which could change as we learn more" blah, blah, blah...
Part of the problem is weak logical skills on the part of the press and the public, as well as an apparent inability to tolerate vague, ambiguous and/or incomplete information. People want a definitive answer that will never change and they want it right now. But science doesn't work that way. Scientists are always searching for more and better information, and if that leads to revisions/reversals of prior conclusions, then that is as it should be.
So, for example, virologist A says "we don't know if the current vaccines will work against the South African variant." Immediately, the articles take on a negative tone -- "Oh no, the vaccine won't work! We're all going to die." NO, they said they don't know if it will work. That is NOT the same as saying they know it will not work. Maybe we will find out that it does work. And as another example, at one time they were uncertain whether fomite transmission was a major cause of infection, so everyone went at it with the scrubbing and disinfecting. Now we know that it is a minor source of transmission and the airborne route is a much greater threat. And people complain "those stupid scientists, they misled us." NO, they acted on the basis of information they had. When the information changed, their conclusions changed. I believe Emerson had something to say about "a foolish consistency".
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