ER Eddie
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Mar 16, 2013
- Messages
- 1,788
As title suggests, I'm wondering how long you need to go, post-retirement, before you no longer need to be concerned about sequence of returns.
"Sequence of returns" risk is the label I know it as, but I'm not a financial guy, so you may know it by other terms. I'm referring to the risk of the stock market tanking shortly after you retire, and how that potentially undermines your ability to withdraw at 4% safely.
I've heard different answers to this question, ranging from 1 or 2 years to 5 or 6 years.
What say you, ER finance gurus? How long past retirement does it take before that is no longer something to worry about? (I understand that everyone's worry threshold is different, but I'm asking for your best general estimate or gut feeling.)
"Sequence of returns" risk is the label I know it as, but I'm not a financial guy, so you may know it by other terms. I'm referring to the risk of the stock market tanking shortly after you retire, and how that potentially undermines your ability to withdraw at 4% safely.
I've heard different answers to this question, ranging from 1 or 2 years to 5 or 6 years.
What say you, ER finance gurus? How long past retirement does it take before that is no longer something to worry about? (I understand that everyone's worry threshold is different, but I'm asking for your best general estimate or gut feeling.)