An interesting large-scale survey of households to characterize how labor markets are being affected by the covid-19 pandemic.
• First, job loss has been significantly larger than implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire Great Recession.
• Second, many of those losing jobs are not actively looking to find new ones.
• Third, participation in the labor force has declined by 7 percentage points, an unparalleled fall that dwarfs the 3-percentage point cumulative decline that occurred from 2008 to 2016. The bulk of the COVID-19 job market impact is being absorbed by the 50-64 opting out of the Labor Force (early retirement).https://www.nber.org/papers/w27017.pdf
• First, job loss has been significantly larger than implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire Great Recession.
• Second, many of those losing jobs are not actively looking to find new ones.
• Third, participation in the labor force has declined by 7 percentage points, an unparalleled fall that dwarfs the 3-percentage point cumulative decline that occurred from 2008 to 2016. The bulk of the COVID-19 job market impact is being absorbed by the 50-64 opting out of the Labor Force (early retirement).https://www.nber.org/papers/w27017.pdf
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