Yup. I don't think betting on the slots is a good idea either. In either case you can win, but the odds are against you. And actually, slots are probably the better choice.
In most of what I have learned about investing, I simply stand on the shoulders of giants. For example, here is some collected wisdom:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Taylor_Larimore's_market_timing_quotes
Here is what will happen: Some fraction of people here will successfully time the market. Maybe 25%. They will account for maybe 95% of the posts and in most cases they will have concluded from being lucky that they are geniuses. We will hear little or nothing from those who have failed. Nassim Taleb calls this "silent evidence:"
Diagoras, a nonbeliever in the gods, was shown painted tablets bearing the portraits of some worshippers who prayed, then survived a subsequent shipwreck. The implication was that praying protects you from drowning.
Diagoras asked, “Where are the pictures of those who prayed, then drowned?”