This weather is awful!! 2008-2021

[ExFlyBoy5]

Wow, that’s not good. Hoping for the best ..

Yeah, terrible way to go. I hadn't seen her in many years, but she was a "good 'ole country girl" who would help anyone. I can't imagine the desperation that those folks were feeling.

 

[W2R]

Apparently there is a strong possibility that Invest 99L ("Disturbance 1") in the Caribbean may approach south Louisiana by Monday or so, as a Category 2-3 hurricane.

It's not even in the Gulf of Mexico yet, it's not even a named storm, and also they don't even have an eye yet! So right now everyone agrees it's time to watch closely and wait, until more information is available on which to base a firmer prediction.

 

[Teacher Terry]

Air now.gov is a much better site for air quality. It’s much more accurate. Purple air sells monitors to the public and uses the information. Reno was bad but not nearly to the extent that purple air reported. This has been the worst summer in a long time.

 

[eytonxav]

Apparently there is a strong possibility that Invest 99L ("Disturbance 1") in the Caribbean may approach south Louisiana by Monday or so, as a Category 2-3 hurricane.

It's not even in the Gulf of Mexico yet, it's not even a named storm, and also they don't even have an eye yet! So right now everyone agrees it's time to watch closely and wait, until more information is available on which to base a firmer prediction.

I heard if it hits La it could be Sunday night, and if Tx Monday/Tuesday. Supposedly warm water could make it intensify. Hoping for the best for all coastal residents.

 

[Ronstar]

Weather has been briefly nasty here. Brief thunderstorm with high winds snapped the trunk on our hibiscus tree in half. Although it was supposed to be an annual, I housed it in my workshop for the last 3-4 winters and it always came back. Hank won't recover from this. RIP Hank.

 

[ExFlyBoy5]

Looks like we will soon have Tropical Storm Ida.

My favorite (retired) TV meteorologist, Bob Breck, says this:



https://bobbreck.blogspot.com/

We are inside the levee protections but I wouldn't want to stay here for a Cat 4. Cat 2 is probably do-able for us; we went through that last year with Hurricane Zeta.

Not a huge fan of weather blogs as they are often looking for revenue so they tend to make a big deal out of things that may or may not amount to a big deal (IMHO). I tend to stick with the folks at NOAA/NWS who put out very good products.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

This is the latest info graphic...point 3 is worth noting.

 

[W2R]

Not a huge fan of weather blogs as they are often looking for revenue so they tend to make a big deal out of things that may or may not amount to a big deal (IMHO). I tend to stick with the folks at NOAA/NWS who put out very good products.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

This is the latest info graphic...point 3 is worth noting.

Well duh!!! I erased my post, so you erase yours and then readers will be stuck with far lesser yoyos like Tropical Tidbits or Mike's Weather Page for any hypotheses past what the NHC provides. And I promise I'll never mention him ever again.

 

[ExFlyBoy5]

Well duh!!! I erased my post, so you erase yours and then readers will be stuck with far lesser yoyos like Tropical Tidbits or Mike's Weather Page for any hypotheses past what the NHC provides. And I promise I'll never mention him ever again.

Sorry, I'll keep my opinion to myself next time. I don't know anything about the guy you posted about...he could be awesome and maybe not out for clicks like so many seem to be. I am a weather nerd and see SOOO many bloggers who do nothing more than cry wolf and then when it comes to an actual big storm...people ignore them. Oh, sorry...my terrible opinion is raring its ugly head again.

 

[W2R]

Sorry, I'll keep my opinion to myself next time. I don't know anything about the guy you posted about...he could be awesome and maybe not out for clicks like so many seem to be. I am a weather nerd and see SOOO many bloggers who do nothing more than cry wolf and then when it comes to an actual big storm...people ignore them. Oh, sorry...my terrible opinion is raring its ugly head again.

I do know something about him.

I'm not a self styled "weather nerd" - - . I used to be my agency's lead metocean expert (=hurricane expert). Like Bob I periodically met with NHC and NWS experts on hurricanes for a living, face to face, and regard them very highly.

But never fear. I'll never mention any highly regarded local expert again with anybody here. We can just repeatedly post updates of the NHC graphics like you and I already did.

 

[ivinsfan]

I do know something about him.

I'm not a self styled "weather nerd" - - . I used to be my agency's lead metocean expert (=hurricane expert). Like Bob I periodically met with NHC and NWS experts on hurricanes for a living, face to face, and regard them very highly.

But never fear. I'll never mention any highly regarded local expert again with anybody here. We can just repeatedly post updates of the NHC graphics like you and I already did.

Flyboy one should be careful when posting criticism, see I knew this about W2R so would not be caught looking silly like you did..

 

[W2R]

Flyboy one should be careful when posting criticism, see I knew this about W2R so would not be caught looking silly like you did..

Well, I didn't mean to make him look silly. Well not exactly. Flyboy, I apologize if I got too het up over all this.

And Ivinsfan, I'm flattered! I didn't know you (or anybody!) would remember that about me. I usually try to softpedal what I did for a living since I'm just another retiree these days.

 

[ivinsfan]

Well, I didn't mean to make him look silly. Well not exactly. Flyboy, I apologize if I got too het up over all this.

Don't worry it wasn't you....

 

[Chuckanut]

Well, I will mention a highly regarded weather expert in my area - Cliff Mass.

Yes, he gets in trouble with some for his views on certain subjects, but his weekly blog on the current and coming weather is good. And he always adds some information about "an interesting weather phenomena" after the weather prediction for the coming week. Weather - don't leave home without.

FWIW, I have found the weather predictions in my area to be greatly improved over even 10 years ago. While they do get caught off guard when a system stalls over an area and drops 8 inches of snow instead of the predicted 'dusting', that is rare. Usually, weather predictions are pretty accurate these days.

 

[ivinsfan]

Well, I didn't mean to make him look silly. Well not exactly. Flyboy, I apologize if I got too het up over all this.

And Ivinsfan, I'm flattered! I didn't know you (or anybody!) would remember that about me. I usually try to softpedal what I did for a living since I'm just another retiree these days.

Well I always thought you had a cool job,stressful but cool. And helping people in scary times

 

[novaman]

Really tired of the heat and humidity of August in the DC metro area. I’ve been here all my life and never adjusted. I try embracing it but my body just can’t take it. I’ve been basically holed up indoors in A/C waiting for Fall to get here.
My dream of moving to coastal Ca might just happen sooner than my family thinks!

 

[ivinsfan]

Well, I will mention a highly regarded weather expert in my area - Cliff Mass.

Yes, he gets in trouble with some for his views on certain subjects, but his weekly blog on the current and coming weather is good. And he always adds some information about "an interesting weather phenomena" after the weather prediction for the coming week. Weather - don't leave home without.

FWIW, I have found the weather predictions in my area to be greatly improved over even 10 years ago. While they do get caught off guard when a system stalls over an area and drops 8 inches of snow instead of the predicted 'dusting', that is rare. Usually, weather predictions are pretty accurate these days.

I feel as though snowfall amounts are the hardest of all predictions. Very seldom right on the money...

 

[braumeister]

I feel as though snowfall amounts are the hardest of all predictions. Very seldom right on the money...

I will never forget the time our base weatherman at an AF base in the north predicted "a few flurries" overnight. Next morning the snow had drifted up against his house to the point that he literally had to climb out a window to get to work.

It took years for him to live that one down.

 

[ExFlyBoy5]

Well, I didn't mean to make him look silly. Well not exactly. Flyboy, I apologize if I got too het up over all this.

And Ivinsfan, I'm flattered! I didn't know you (or anybody!) would remember that about me. I usually try to softpedal what I did for a living since I'm just another retiree these days.

Nah, I'm good. It's tough to fly in the military for 20+ years without having some thick skin. I take my beatings as required.

Thank you for the context on the met...that certainly adds credence to his ability. Remember, I live in tornado alley where the self proclaimed weather experts are a dime a dozen.

 

[Koolau]

Really tired of the heat and humidity of August in the DC metro area. I’ve been here all my life and never adjusted. I try embracing it but my body just can’t take it. I’ve been basically holed up indoors in A/C waiting for Fall to get here.
My dream of moving to coastal Ca might just happen sooner than my family thinks!

Heh, heh, bring LOTS of money! (YMMV)

 

[NW-Bound]

My closest friend bought a home somewhere near Lompoc, CA. He was going to sell his home in Bethesda, MD. I have not talked to him for a while, but will pay him a visit some time when we do RV'ing again.

Lompoc is outside of the metro area, and home prices are not bad at all. The weather is also nice. The average summer high is a mere 85F. One should be able to get a lot large enough for a ground solar PV array. Can't be sure about availability of grid power nowadays.

 

[Gumby]

They that go down to the sea in ships, that do business in great waters;

These see the works of the Lord, and his wonders in the deep.

For he commandeth, and raiseth the stormy wind, which lifteth up the waves thereof.

They mount up to the heaven, they go down again to the depths: their soul is melted because of trouble.

They reel to and fro, and stagger like a drunken man, and are at their wit's end.

Psalm 107:23-27

And that's why we take great interest in all weather forecasting, but particularly that related to tropical cyclones.

 

[novaman]

Heh, heh, bring LOTS of money! (YMMV)

Fortunately for me, I've spent the past 30+ years living in the HCOL area of DC (Mclean, Va) I've been looking at Orange County in SoCal or Walnut Creek in Norcal and COL-wise it is about the same. So I'm used it it.

 

[The Cosmic Avenger]

Really tired of the heat and humidity of August in the DC metro area. I’ve been here all my life and never adjusted. I try embracing it but my body just can’t take it. I’ve been basically holed up indoors in A/C waiting for Fall to get here.
My dream of moving to coastal Ca might just happen sooner than my family thinks!

That's my "stretch goal" for exactly the same reason*, but I'd probably settle for the PNW, Maine, or northern Minnesota.

(*I haven't lived here all my life, but almost half of it now, and NYC before that, so not exactly a cool or dry climate.)

 

[ExFlyBoy5]

Well, looks like the folks on the gulf coast could get quite the beating from Ida; almost exactly 16 years to the day that Katrina caused so much destruction. I was involved in some of the emergency evacuation airlift missions and can't believe its been so long...it was something I will never forget. I really hope the folks down there take this seriously.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/271449.shtml?

...This, in combination with warm sea surface temperatures and a moist environment along the forecast track of the storm are expected to result in steady to rapid strengthening. Ida is now forecast to become a hurricane when it is near western
Cuba and once it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico a period of rapid strengthening is likely to begin, with the NHC intensity forecast explicitly calling for rapid intensification to major hurricane strength between 24 and 48 hours. The official intensity forecast is on the higher side of the intensity guidance but not quite as high as the slightly more aggressive CTCI, HWRF, and HCCA models...In summary, there is a higher-than-normal confidence that a significant hurricane will impact a large portion
of the northern Gulf coast by late this weekend and early next week.

 

[Dtail]

Apparently there is a strong possibility that Invest 99L ("Disturbance 1") in the Caribbean may approach south Louisiana by Monday or so, as a Category 2-3 hurricane.

It's not even in the Gulf of Mexico yet, it's not even a named storm, and also they don't even have an eye yet! So right now everyone agrees it's time to watch closely and wait, until more information is available on which to base a firmer prediction.

Stay safe W2R. Looks like it is in line with roughly where you live.
Keep us posted. Hopefully you don't need to evacuate.