Comparing hoped-for future returns from risky assets like stocks and bonds to inflation protected cash flow from Social Security is comparing two completely different things. The best answer is probably to use each for what it’s best at.Its been a goal the past 9 years of retirement to stay in the 12% bracket.
(Unlike when working, got killed the entire time)
And have tried to configure things to be able to stay there going forward.
Not 100% sure I can pull it off. But its a goal. Roth conversions. Draw down the IRA in small amounts over a long period of time etc.
Plan to take SS at 62 in 2024. About $2900 a month for both my wife and I.
Just wanted to post this, as I don't recall too many SS threads about taking it early.
...will save the after tax accounts till the end. Have not got into the IRA or Roth IRA yet (am 60) Plan to start in 2024 with SS.
After this years and next years Roth conv. will have about 450k in the IRA. And plan make the same yearly withdrawals (27k) over 20 years. Figuring a 3.5% return. Not saying its the best plan, but so far seems like what I feel good about.
SS is weak in the upside case of large stock and bond returns, happiness and sunshine. Best to use risky assets for growing the portfolio to meet goals like living better, gifting to charity, or leaving a legacy to heirs.
SS is strong in helping cushion the downside risks. Once one spouse passes, only the larger benefit will continue, so it’s typically best for the larger earner (or older if about equal) to wait until age 70 to claim. Other examples that happen to too many folks is future-you starts losing cognitive ability and gambles away your money in high-risk investments, or gets ripped off by scammers, or maybe you hurt someone and get sued. Or maybe you were just unlucky in your retirement date and get hit by extra-bad returns.
Up to you to figure out how much of each you want to plan for, but don’t just assume all will be well.
Note that RMDs from a $450K IRA probably don’t hurt that much and there are possible tax deductible uses for the IRA like long term care, so it’s not urgent to lower that balance. You would have to study, but it seems likely to me that it would be better to deplete your taxable account first.
I use opensocialsecurity.com for standalone SS optimization and Pralana Gold to model the various interactions of taxes, SS, ACA, Roth Conversions. Pralana costs $99 and needs Excel (I’ve seen others recommend paid on-line calculators MaxFi and Income Strategy). Obviously no tool can see the future, but I always find it odd how many folks make decisions that could mean thousands or tens of thousands of dollars difference without capable tools that cost a tiny fraction of that.