mathjak107
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Jul 27, 2005
- Messages
- 6,210
what was interesting is i was playing with firecalc today and i threw in the 28 years we have left since we are already retired 2 years and at are a higher portfolio value today than the day we retired .
it showed that the 45% equity level we are at actually beat 50/50 and 75/25 by 1 cycle less in failures . 3 cycles failed vs 4 for 50/50 and 75/25 .
it held up better right down to 35% equities . 30% equities turned worse again .
the interesting thing is running 30 years , 4 cycles failed at 50% and 6 cycles failed at 45% . that 2 year difference in years had the allocations pan out very different for 45% to 35% equities .
it showed that the 45% equity level we are at actually beat 50/50 and 75/25 by 1 cycle less in failures . 3 cycles failed vs 4 for 50/50 and 75/25 .
it held up better right down to 35% equities . 30% equities turned worse again .
the interesting thing is running 30 years , 4 cycles failed at 50% and 6 cycles failed at 45% . that 2 year difference in years had the allocations pan out very different for 45% to 35% equities .