Articles such as this scare the crap out of me with regard to relying on Medicaid care facilities. And yet I'm a long way from being a fat FIRE (RE was due to a layoff in tech vs. voluntary) so self-insurance is for LTC is not feasible.
Compared to "can I retire now?" calculators, I haven't found any "can I afford LTC?" calculators other than those that try to sell extremely limited LTC insurance policies.
About the only action I can take from the linked article is Christmas this year will be care packages at a local facility. I used to build socks+gloves+stocking caps+sundries packages for a homeless shelter... but the elderly seem to be more hidden and with fewer (or no) programs to help.
https://www.dakotanewsnow.com/2023/03/15/nursing-homes-impoverished-live-final-days-pennies/
For what its worth, I've been a part of managing LTC for relatives a handful of times. NW of these folks has ranged from zero to seven figures. The good news is that all of these situations worked out just fine.
I know reliance on Medicaid sounds like hell-on-Earth to this crowd, but it does not have to be awful - in fact without it there would be huge social unrest in the U.S. because the vast majority of nursing home patients relay on it.
Yes, horror stories abound, but what makes a huge difference is the PEOPLE you have looking out for you when/if you ever need nursing home care. My observation is that the folks with zero NW got taken care of about as well as the folks with $1M NW - all because they had active and engaged family members looking out for their interests, making sure they were getting treated well, researching all the pertinent topics, and making sure providers were doing the right things.
Now it is true, that if you have to rely on Medicaid for nursing home care, chances are your assets have been exhausted by a horrifically expensive system. And it is true, you won't be going to the swankiest nursing home. But, you will not be homeless, and you will be ok, and there are decent facilities you can get into, with the caveat that you will need people who understand how to deftly navigate and stay on top of a confusing, Byzantine system to ensure you are taken care of properly.
The best thing any of us could do to prepare is making sure you have that network of family, friends, community, and professionals in place.
P.S. #1: When it comes to skilled nursing care, do not make the mistake of equating the swankiest, most expensive facilities with the best care. I found there was zero correlation between cost and quality. That is why due diligence, research, and if possible, professional advice is so critical.
P.S. #2: The other thing to keep in mind is that if you go into a nursing home, the probability is very high that you will not be there for very long - either you're in for short-term rehab and will be discharged in a month or two, or that's where you're going to die and that won't take more than a year, two tops, even with dementia though there are always nightmare exceptions.
P.S. #3: Please keep in mind, Assisted Living is an entirely different thing - purely private pay. I'm talking about Skilled Nursing Facilities (i.e. you have significant physical/medical/healthcare needs that cannot be handled at home).