Pension equate to bond allocation?

I have a cash balance pension that I count as fixed income at the withdrawal value. This is quite conservative valuation, but it is less than 5% of my total portfolio so it doesn't matter.


Briane, if this pension is COLAd and secure, you are sitting pretty. How you count it doesn't matter in that case. Invest the assets as you see fit. If it were me, I would probably do some flavor of 60/40, but anything from 20/80 to 80/20 would probably work. If the pension isn't COLAd I might be inclined to own a bunch of TIPS and equities. If it isn't secure, I would view it as a junk bond.

a “cash value” account isn’t a pension .... (now i’ve got a real pension.... it goes on for my life and for my spouse if I predecease)

{rant} I wish people would use the better term... “cash value account “, then we could say that in the future that they could convert the value (at that time) into an annuity (single or joint life) or convert into IRA or taxable account...{end rant}
 
"Social Security’s the greatest fixed income you’ll ever get." - John Bogle


Having said that, we likely won't ever budget our entire pension/SS income so we're completely comfortable going 100% equities w/ the rest of our investment money. By the time we may need that money (presuming inflation has gone haywire world-wide) we can then shift to a more conservative AA.
 
OP-

Here’s another good paper on how to ‘incorporate’ your guaranteed income streams (pension, SS, etc.) into your W/D approach. The summary conclusion (which seems obvious but, isn’t always appropriately considered by retirees) is pasted below.

Conclusions
To better serve retirees and those saving for retirement, financial planners need to move beyond heuristic-based initial safe withdrawal rates. Results from this analysis suggest that optimal initial safe withdrawal rates varied significantly when guaranteed income was considered, from approximately 6 percent when 95 percent of wealth was in guaranteed income, versus approximately 2 percent when only 5 percent of wealth was in guaranteed income.


https://www.onefpa.org/journal/Page...drawals-on-Safe-Initial-Withdrawal-Rates.aspx
 
a “cash value” account isn’t a pension .... (now i’ve got a real pension.... it goes on for my life and for my spouse if I predecease)

{rant} I wish people would use the better term... “cash value account “, then we could say that in the future that they could convert the value (at that time) into an annuity (single or joint life) or convert into IRA or taxable account...{end rant}

Rant all you like, seems to be a popular choice these days. But the hybrid pension structure many sponsors went with before they killed them entirely is referred to as a cash balance pension.
 
I only spend about 60-65% of my monthly pension and its cola’d. So I invest my money the way I want to, as I really probably will never spend it anyways. Its part hobby to me.
 
At any time, I can take my non-cola pension as an annuity or roll the lump sum into an IRA. Because I haven't decided what to do or when, it is easier for me to track the lumpsum value as part of our fixed income assets. The lump sum is 10% of our total portfolio.

75% of our assets are tax deferred. We are 56/57 and planning to do Roth conversions while staying within the ACA MAGI limit. As a result, we will probably not draw my pension until I'm 65 or 70.
 
Rant all you like, seems to be a popular choice these days. But the hybrid pension structure many sponsors went with before they killed them entirely is referred to as a cash balance pension.


nope.... not pensions [“ a sum of money paid regularly to a person who has retired “]

their were some that did have a true hybrid in earlier years.... minimal “true” pension and additional paid into cash balance funds ( usually related to bonuses or employee event, like employment anniversaries)....
but to call current cash value plans a “pension” is totally disingenuous
 
nope.... not pensions [“ a sum of money paid regularly to a person who has retired “]

their were some that did have a true hybrid in earlier years.... minimal “true” pension and additional paid into cash balance funds ( usually related to bonuses or employee event, like employment anniversaries)....
but to call current cash value plans a “pension” is totally disingenuous

Whatever you say, kemosabe.
 
It might matter what type of pension you have. The term "pension" covers a pretty broad range of plans. Is it cash balance or defined benefit ? Is it cola'ed or not ? Is it lump sum'able on demand ?

I have a cash balance plan that I can withdraw the lump on demand. It accrues the greater of 5% or 30 year treasury rates while in the plan. I count it as FI allocation and it is about 1/2 my 40% total FI allocation. If it was a defined benefit plan that I couldn't withdraw, I'd probably use the "gap" calculation posted by pb4uski instead.

Another thought is if your pension is in lieu of SS, like a lot of government pensions are, I wouldn't count it as investment allocation. Allocation recommendations assume SS but don't count it as allocation. Same should hold with a pension in lieu of SS.

OP here. The Nevada State pension has a COLA.
 
a “cash value” account isn’t a pension .... (now i’ve got a real pension.... it goes on for my life and for my spouse if I predecease)

{rant} I wish people would use the better term... “cash value account “, then we could say that in the future that they could convert the value (at that time) into an annuity (single or joint life) or convert into IRA or taxable account...{end rant}

Except that rolling out a lump sum is no more guaranteed in a cash value pension than it is in a traditional defined benefit plan. In order to offer lump sum options, a cash balance plan has to be above 80% funded. The reason that cash balance plans almost always can offer lump sums and are generally much better funded than defined benefit plans is that both the risk and reward for changing market conditions go to the participants, not the company. For instance, my employer's cash balance pension is currently funded at 127% and has been as high as 150% in the last decade. If you see a private pension plan that is over 100% funded, it is almost certainly a cash balance plan. Just one observation I would have is that it appears that current market trends (rising interest rates) tend to favor being a participant in a cash balance plan over an equivalent defined benefit plan. My calculated annuity amount goes up with interest rates and my cash value increases with interest rate credits that track the 30 year treasury. I also have much better assurance I can withdraw the value if/when it looks like interest rates are on the decline.

I don't seem to be alone in considering my cash balance pension plan a real pension. My mega-corp has named their particular plan the RAPP (retirement accumulation pension plan). If you use google with a search string "cash balance pension", you will come up with millions of hits, with articles from US dept of labor, kiplinger and investopedia at the top of the list. The pdf on the USDoL site is particularly descriptive of the different pension types:
Cash Balance Pension Plans
 
I went through this exercise and come around quickly to subtracting my pension from my total target spending and then ssettled on an AA to fund that smaller amount. But I abandoned the thought that my pension is a bond/fixed income surrogate from an investment point of view.

In my case my pension and my wife's SSDI is $60k annually. We budget $80k so I only need my portfolio to provide $20k. Depending on the size of one's portfolio and what WR is required to provide the shortfall after pension, one may choose to be much more aggressive from an AA percentage perspective.

+1

I adopted this way of looking at things a long time ago and it has served me well.
 
Firecalc has this option in the second tab. You can choose cola or non cola. That is how I would do it. If the pension has a cash balance option then things are different and you can run an alternate scenario where it is currently part of your fixed income. But that would be an alternate. Be sure to select cola or non cola in firecalc as that will make a huge difference, esp if the pension is a large part of your spending.
 
I guess it all depends on what you consider the reasons for your definition of SWR with regards to AA. I never thought of SWR as defined by necessary income, mainly I guess, because I never had the chance to use FI as RE. Or I should say never had the balls to. To me, SWR is a rate that you COULD use and sustain for your chosen interval. I see people here all the time refer to their “actual SWR” vs a redundant “safe SWR”.

My route, because of the pensions and large SS was always once fixed income exceeded expected expenses, both required and discretionary, then I would retire and the investments would be for added fun money and unexpected costs, due to inflation and health which are basically uncontrollable.. In my feeble mind, it never occured to me until maybe 10 years ago that living off a SWR was any kind of option, so the vast majority was tax deferred. I had to decide WHAT my living and spending standards were going to be, then adjust my retirement date to occur when that income was met and exceeded by my safety margin. I always refer to income as net taxes, not gross. (And that was part of the problem. I never considered any tax advantaged investments. I didn’t even know they existed)

When I was in my 30s or even 40s I never planned to retire once I could generate “x” income from investing. There were just too many unknown variables. Too much faith had to be placed on uncontrollable factors. I knew I didn’t know what Inwould need or want as income in my 60s and beyond. Life had to happen first, or a crapload of money had to come my way!

So I guess I consider that there really are two different SWRs; one where you actually always take out that rate and actually spend it all as income, and one where you CAN take out that amount, but don’t, just keeping track of the running “SWR TOTAL” & tapping it whenever you want. I mean this sincerely. My current working income is income. I don’t add in 4% of what my investments are, and say that’s part of my income. It is still in accumulation mode. DW is already collecting her pensions and SS and it is simply income, of which 75 % of it is invested.

When my retirement rolls around, in 575 days, it is because at that point my pension and investments will/should have reached the point that both of our pensions plus SS (regardless of when I actually take it) easily exceed all types of planned expenses, now that I am at an age and lifestyle that I am satisfied with. I’m just glad that turned out to be under $150k in todays dollars and not something like $200-250k, that I would need to work until I was 70 to reach. I mean, isn’t reaching what ever “level” of income/success you want part of the decision as when to retire? Assuming of course that you actually earn and save enough to meet whatever level you really wanted. It is ludicrous for me to want to live a $500k/yr lifestyle. I never have, and the opportunity never presented itself. I would never be a VP or wall street wiz. But my income & lifestyle fairly exceeds what I and my strata are used to, so I am satisfied.

The major difference now is that the amount invested at my age, is at the point where it fast approaches that it makes no sense to purposely only add to it. The time has comes to withdraw whenever I want, but only at a sustainable average rate, depleting the principal as it makes sense to do based on age and circumstances. If I die before I expect, the amount left is still sustainable for the same number of years for DW, or goes to heirs. I’d be dead, so wouldn’t care. I lived as I wanted. If by, say 90, and much of the savings is gone, as I see fit, which is dependent on what the fixed incomes are compared to expenses at that time, then all is good. Probably way too conservative, but I guess it is so ingrained in me that it would take enormous investments (to me, like 5-10M, not 1-2M) before I could comfortably not care about other income sources as required.

I could never be 100% equities because the swings don’t warrant the miniscule average gains. 60/30/10 is about the most I could go.
 
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I have a question for all you smarter-than-me types. For those of you who have a pension, do you count your pension as a "fixed income" allocation? When I retire, I'm wondering how to handle my pension income as part of my overall asset allocation. My annual spending is about $75k. In retirement, my pension income will be approximately $60k. I'm thinking about keeping ALL my retirement savings in equities - yes, 100%. Does this sound crazy? I will have approximately $800,000 in my retirement savings at the time of my retirement.

I guess the alternative would be to separate the two; pension and retirement savings. Do you keep an asset allocation in the retirement savings as, say, 80%/20%?

I hope this all makes sense to you. Please reply!

Now retired just over ten years. Both wife and I have pensions. Debated this question for awhile and came to the conclusion NO. Fixed income is just that income and not a investment. This is especially true if your pension and SS income exceed your expenses and you are continuing to save. Staying 100 percent equity is a personal choice. We each stay in the 65-70% equity range for now. At age 70 our time horizon is shortening and the odds over that time of a regression to the mean are good.
 
I am like many here, I take my relatively small pension and any other money like SS, as the basis against my monthly/yearly budget needs. The difference is where retirement savings fills the gap. I do take more aggressive AA than the general advised because I can handle market swings with a reasonable withdrawal rate.
 
I have a question for all you smarter-than-me types. For those of you who have a pension, do you count your pension as a "fixed income" allocation? When I retire, I'm wondering how to handle my pension income as part of my overall asset allocation. My annual spending is about $75k. In retirement, my pension income will be approximately $60k. I'm thinking about keeping ALL my retirement savings in equities - yes, 100%. Does this sound crazy? I will have approximately $800,000 in my retirement savings at the time of my retirement.

I guess the alternative would be to separate the two; pension and retirement savings. Do you keep an asset allocation in the retirement savings as, say, 80%/20%?

I hope this all makes sense to you. Please reply!


I have always advocated considering your pension fund's underlying asset allocation in your own personal asset allocation. For instance, if your pension fund has a 65/35 Equity/Fixed Income split, that 65/35 split should be assumed for the pension portion of your assets. This perspective will help to include the true underlying risk allocation of your pension check.

A pension fund is not risk-free, and as a result is not fixed income from a risk perspective.
 
I have always advocated considering your pension fund's underlying asset allocation in your own personal asset allocation. For instance, if your pension fund has a 65/35 Equity/Fixed Income split, that 65/35 split should be assumed for the pension portion of your assets. This perspective will help to include the true underlying risk allocation of your pension check.

A pension fund is not risk-free, and as a result is not fixed income from a risk perspective.

Very true. That's one of the reasons I try to stay 65% ish on equities and am pouring excess income into investments. Gotta be prepared for reasonably could be a 25% hit in pensions, SS or both. Non pension residents of high COL states would also take a tax revenue hit as more pensioners would migrate to lower COL states to be able to afford retirement. All ready a problem in some states but the drain would worsen. Tax dollars and pension contributions from the state being used elsewhere. That would be a real negative for all in those states.
 
I have always advocated considering your pension fund's underlying asset allocation in your own personal asset allocation. For instance, if your pension fund has a 65/35 Equity/Fixed Income split, that 65/35 split should be assumed for the pension portion of your assets. This perspective will help to include the true underlying risk allocation of your pension check.

A pension fund is not risk-free, and as a result is not fixed income from a risk perspective.

I understand your perspective, but that sounds way too complicated for me! So if I have an annuity(pension), I should ask the Insurance company how they have invested my money so I know how to invest my portfolio? See how complicated it is already!

VW
 
DW has a pension and it plays no part in how we count assets allocated. It is a cash flow, and really has nothing to do with investments. It does affect our withdrawals though since our withdrawal amount = (budgeted amount) - (total cash flows: SS + pension).

Ditto on this. Well stated.

A pension income is an income stream and it just reduces the amount you need to withdraw from your portfolio.
 
Very interesting topic. I have often thought about this (have a very small pension) but with respect to SS income as well. I'm sure there have been similar question asked, but I have often toyed with SS being part of fixed asset/bond side of AA.
 
Ditto on this. Well stated.

A pension income is an income stream and it just reduces the amount you need to withdraw from your portfolio.

That’s how I’ve always seen it and SS. If someone’s needs are most or completely covered by an income stream, they might choose to invest more aggressively. Then again, they might not.
 
We definitely consider our pension income when determining asset mix.

We don't necessarily calculate it down to the NPV but it does have an impact on the equity component of our resources-sometimes as much as 20 or 25 percent increase to what it might otherwise be depending on the market opportunities.
 
...<makes no sense >...

I have always advocated considering your pension fund's underlying asset allocation in your own personal asset allocation. For instance, if your pension fund has a 65/35 Equity/Fixed Income split, that 65/35 split should be assumed for the pension portion of your assets. This perspective will help to include the true underlying risk allocation of your pension check.

A pension fund is not risk-free, and as a result is not fixed income from a risk perspective.


Nope....
so now Feds have to use a treasury rate, state employee retirees have to use state muni rates, small employer retirees have to use small cap rates (and higher defaults), megacorp retirees use large cap returns..... makes no sense to look at the underlying securities.... only the funding ratio (for non-gov retirees, and then have to examine state retirees depending upon whether there’s specific language in their state constitutions that protects their benefits)


pensions (especially “true” pensions) are an income stream.... subtract that income stream from your needs...leaving a residual need, then apply whatever factor (3.5% wr or 4 % wr or whatever) to determine required (minimum) portfolio ... extra funding of portfolio gives enhanced probability that it’ll work


{so for us, pension of $28k plus 3.5% of nearly three large ....and adding in 25k (at least) for each SS (already of age to start early, but delaying until at least FRA), when we do start them, gives us well over our minimum required $65k or even our more comfortable $85k planned option}
 
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Is 3 large, $3M or $300k? If 3M then heck yeah! Way over what you ever need!!! We have determined that $7k/mo (net) easily more than covers what we can spend while thoroughly enjoying what ever we would do. If I retire in 575 days, (62 & a few months) & then spend down tIRA/401k to delay filing until FRA, then that is more than covered from fixed. That should still leave a discretionary SWR from about $1M to take up the unknowns, fudge factor, etc.

I would say that for our situation personally, our AA will be less aggressive than it has been during accumulation (thanks to pensions and SS amounts) BECAUSE we don’t have to have a more aggressive equity percentage in order to maintain SOL, rather than allowing it to be more aggressive because it is not “needed”. Especially since we are not exactly retiring early. I will admit to being more heavily in to equities during the last 9 years than I was really comfortable with. I have had to make a conscious effort to convince myself that the bull had legs & the risk/reward would be worth it, and it has paid off so far with about a quadruple amount now in retirement accounts vs 2009. But I know I couldn’t sustain that comfort level, especially since the retirement date (with the large drop in income) and too long a bull are coinciding. I will more likely go with something more like a simple funds portfolio strategy eventually.

There is a definite difference in level of comfort knowing that if needed for whatever, I could stop saving the approximately $60k a year we are saving, while working, vs retiring on less but the net being the same (likely more) because of not “having” to save that amount and no longer pay the $10k in FICA & Med. There really shouldn’t be but at this point there is.
 
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