Hey Slow….No possible guess without knowing the unknowable….Interest rate movements, crisis, market general turmoil… Who knows.. FWIW…The company has IG credit credentials but without IG rating. Why? Because a lot of IG ratings have nothing to do with actual company credit metrics.. Size of company, length history of credit, etc., etc. drag it down. But its metrics are good. Its tied for my second biggest hold now, and I am not selling (I got in low $7s average myself. Quite often I double block in 9.50s or so and dumped over $10 rinse and repeat. More careful now though.
It has been a rock star as many have cratered but this one is still up 10% past year. I see little opp for more cap appreciation, but I dont mind clipping the now 8.8% coupon thats essentially uncallable.
In the spirit of PB’s thinking here is an idea. Start thinking forward and looking to track some that may hit a personal buy zone…Here is an example for me…The $1000 par EIX 5.375% fixed to reset issue.. Since it doesnt reset until 2026 it may trade off present poor yield. It resets to 4.69% plus 5 yr Tbill… I own modest 25 or so shares with about a $1000 blend ave past year.
This is one I want to drop…It wants to hang around $960-$970 now. But Im begging for a drop to $900 to add more. This is a who has the ink pen last scenario given…But at that price even if 5yr was at 0%, you would be looking at a 6% yield in a 0 rate environment. And what if rates shoot higher? Well if 5 yr is 4% at reset, that would reset this around 9.5% QDI. …Thank you sir, may I have another? (An old Fraternity initiation ass beating reference)