Recently in a few different threads the idea of using the 200 day moving average to time the market have been discussed. From a long term perceptive it does not appear to be an effective way to invest. However for those in retirement is there any merit to utilizing a similar strategy?
I came across this arcticle at I-orp.com and found it interesting. I did a quick search and did not find it mentioned here on the forum.
Simple Market Timing
Using a 1 month chart you plot the 2 day moving average and the 222 day moving average. When the lines cross you buy or sell accordingly.
http://i-orp.com/modeldescription/smt%5B1%5D.pdf
My understanding from the arcticle... its not so much about market timing to maximize returns but more about handling volatility during retirement to better control withdrawal rates.
For the risk averse who may not have the fortitude to adhere to a buy and hold strategy... is this a practical alternative you have used or would consider using?
I came across this arcticle at I-orp.com and found it interesting. I did a quick search and did not find it mentioned here on the forum.
Simple Market Timing
Using a 1 month chart you plot the 2 day moving average and the 222 day moving average. When the lines cross you buy or sell accordingly.
http://i-orp.com/modeldescription/smt%5B1%5D.pdf
My understanding from the arcticle... its not so much about market timing to maximize returns but more about handling volatility during retirement to better control withdrawal rates.
For the risk averse who may not have the fortitude to adhere to a buy and hold strategy... is this a practical alternative you have used or would consider using?
Last edited: