What probability of success did you retire at (or plan to retire at)?

[DrRoy]

Our Firecalc was 100% and my Fidelity score was 150+. Because our NW has continued to grow since RE 4 years ago, I am going to take my highest ever WR for next year of 3%, but I don't expect to spend it all.

 

[indiajust]

The merits of sleeping in a nice tent or camper by the river are not to be underestimated. It depends greatly on the river. I ended up retiring in 2008 at just over 100k in an IRA, with a half paid mortgage on a half finished fixerupper. 65k on the taxable side. My odds had to be closer to 0 than 1, long before I heard of FIRE. 2015 the house sold, the IRA rolled to a roth, I discover FIRE and I'm already there. Surprised to break finish tape while hearing starter gun.

 

[flyingaway]

One can always twist the budget to get 100% success rate. If you have a choice of retiring or not, that makes the decision a lot easier.