Mortgage vs. paid off house. What a great new topic! This should be interesting.
Having said that, Ric Edelman is a typical self serving FA scumbag.
Al, that is an emotional reason and I understand that. It feels good. But I am interested in hard financial reasons. Like you, I am an engineer and can feel just as good doing whatever is smartest financially, instead of just what intuitively feels good.
We are already saving 40% of our income: maxing out all tax-deferred we can, doing our Roths, and saving extra in taxable. We have a mortgage at 2.8%. Financially I don't believe it would make sense to pay off the house, especially since we are downsizing in 6 years.
I am a big fan of arbing a mortgage, assuming the right conditions. And a 3.75% 30 year loan (mine) is a good enough bet for me. I'm retired, so this runs against gcgang's thoughts. But leaving a large amount of equity in a house that I plan to live in for a long time doesn't make sense to me. I'm willing to bet that over the next 10/15/20 years the interest rate on the loan will be totally eclipsed by the income gained by investing it in a different asset, whether it be cash or my normal investment AA. But I'd never give any of it to Ric Edelman.
I've taken out HELOC's, used <1% car financing twice, and drawn out our mortgage, including a large cash out in the second to last refi, and invested the proceeds. So far my "HELOC" brokerage account where I invested the HELOC and mortgage money is up about $80k after subtracting out the $100k cash out still in there and about $20 in interest paid so far. That's $80k from nothing, just taking the mortgage/investment risk and investing in my normal AA for 12 years. And the two cars, purchased in 2001 and 2009, ended up costing us less than half price as we made money on what we would have paid in cash for the cars. Of course there was an obvious timing advantage to those dates now, but we did take out car loans near the bottom of the market both times.
Not for everyone, but if you can get a long-term loan for 3.25% the odds are decent that you can do better than that with your normal AA. Kind of like taking a withdrawal rate of 3.25% from your retirement portfolio.
I think your idea is as good as anyone else's.I would like to hear your opinion on what specific counterarguments people have to his advice.
I can understand that an 8% return is no longer a reasonable expectation. But what other specific problems do you see with someone holding a large mortgage, especially during retirement.
We are considering selling our home and buying a new smaller home right before retirement. Instead of putting money in the home and buying it outright, we are thinking of only putting 20% down and financing the rest, assuming interest rates stay relatively low and still less than our expected rate of return on investments. At that time, it would give us some taxable funds that we could use for Roth conversions of our IRAs, which we want to maximize before RMDs kick in. It would also give us the tax deductions which would help with our taxes during that time and some extra funds for the kids' college education.
We are thinking we would carry the mortgage until DH or I pass away, and the tax rate changes to single. At that time, the survivor could use life insurance proceeds to pay off the mortgage and probably take the standard deduction on taxes instead of itemizing.
For us, I think there is a case to be made for carrying this mortgage even though we could pay for the home in cash. Although it feels "good" to have the home paid off, it might be smarter to get the flexibility to use the cash during that time period to do the Roth conversions.
What do you think?
Do you just have a HELOC or do you have HELOC and mortgage? Your statement above implies that you've only paid $20 in interest - and that would have to be a really small loan for that to be the interest on even one months payment. (Maybe you haven't made your first mortgage payment?)
I'm just trying to figure this out.
We're likely to get a HELOC before I retire... just for cash flow purposes or at least options of cash flow.... But we're also likely to pay off our mortgage at the time my husband retires - but it's getting close to done already... so that's more the peace of mind thing.
I'm not trying to pick a fight - just trying to figure out how you can have a mortgage and HELOC invested - and only be paying $20 in interest.... What period of time is this $20?
Not $20, that was a typo for $20k. The $80k and $100k were correct, and the difference was the $20k.
The HELOC was simultaneous with the mortgage, up to $160k initially I think. I had to keep dropping the amount to get the last two refis. Now I have no HELOC until I can get something at a decent rate, though some of it was taken care of with a cash-out refi.
It can be difficult to get any loan after retirement, so it might be wise to hang on to the mortgage if that works for you. We've had a few threads on that. Home purchase interest is also easier to deduct (and is the only home equity interest deductible for AMT) than HELOC interest. I have to divide up my current mortgage into purchase/$100k equity/investment in order to deduct it on regular taxes, and purchase/investment for AMT.
How is that division achieved, if you don't mind?