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Old 06-07-2009, 09:21 AM   #21
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No, the sell signal is when Want2retire says "Wheeee!"
Irrational exuberance.
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"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)

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Old 06-07-2009, 10:03 AM   #22
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Irrational exuberance.
The best kind of exuberance!
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Old 06-07-2009, 12:05 PM   #23
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Yep, some definite improvements and a significant recovery! Up 9.35% YTD and down only 24% from peak value in Oct 2007 as opposed to being down 40% from peak in March! I'm hoping (knock on wood!!!!) to rebalance soon and take some profits as my asset allocation has changed significantly since I rebalanced on Jan 15.

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Old 06-07-2009, 12:41 PM   #24
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I know I have a higher portfolio value now than I have ever recorded at the end of any quarter (but that total includes new contributions too). Maybe not higher than the all time intraquarter highs that I don't keep track of.

And my emerging market index fund that I have been accumulating for a few years is back in black at this point. All those EM purchases in late 2008 are up close to 100% at this point, and I'm fairly overweighted in EM versus my target asset allocation (11% versus target 9%). May trim back the allocation some if it goes up much more.
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Old 06-07-2009, 02:31 PM   #25
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After drilling down a bit, I found out that DW's company stock holdings show a YTD increase of 305% (XIRR). It represents only 4% of our NW. Her company stock had fallen almost 90% from peak to trough (ouch!) so it is exciting to see it move in a direction other than down...

This is a plot showing portfolio value = f(time):
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Old 06-07-2009, 02:37 PM   #26
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I know I have a higher portfolio value now than I have ever recorded at the end of any quarter (but that total includes new contributions too). Maybe not higher than the all time intraquarter highs that I don't keep track of.

And my emerging market index fund that I have been accumulating for a few years is back in black at this point. All those EM purchases in late 2008 are up close to 100% at this point, and I'm fairly overweighted in EM versus my target asset allocation (11% versus target 9%). May trim back the allocation some if it goes up much more.
Yeah my EM target is 10% its almost 13 now. If it continues its tear I may need to do something about it.
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Old 06-07-2009, 03:49 PM   #27
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This is a plot showing portfolio value = f(time):
I'm not clear on how you got that big surge at the end. Surely the 4% of company stock doesn't make that big of a difference. Mine, from the same period, isn't as pretty:
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Old 06-07-2009, 04:40 PM   #28
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I'm not clear on how you got that big surge at the end. Surely the 4% of company stock doesn't make that big of a difference. Mine, from the same period, isn't as pretty:
I think it has a lot to do with the fact that you are retired (IIRC) and I am not. The surge can mostly be explained by new contributions that went almost exclusively into stocks since October, plus rebalancing in November.
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Old 06-07-2009, 05:02 PM   #29
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Yay! I'm back to less than 20% off of my all time high!
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Old 06-07-2009, 05:03 PM   #30
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Watch for the head fake and a crash this winter.
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