Early Retirement Forums

Go Back   Early Retirement Forums > General > FIRE and Money





Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 11-17-2008, 11:56 PM   #1
toofrugalformycat
Recycles dryer sheets
 
toofrugalformycat's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Anchorage
Posts: 408
When buying weekly, does it matter which day?

I'm easing into rebalancing, because I do not have the guts (or faith) to buy such a huge chunk of equities all at once.
I've been buying a little bit once a week, on the same day each week.
But now I wonder if it's a good or bad idea to always buy on the same day. Does the market end down more often on Fridays than Mondays, for example?
I remember reading a study somewhere that the phases of the moon had a measurable effect on investing.
Has anyone seen such a study on days of the week? Or am I just overanalyzing a totally random decision?
Let the ridicule begin.
toofrugalformycat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 12:00 AM   #2
Notmuchlonger
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Notmuchlonger's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 3,190
Maybe
__________________
lemony
Notmuchlonger is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 12:28 AM   #3
mb
Full time employment: Posting here.
 
mb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 722
Quote:
Originally Posted by toofrugalformycat View Post
I'm easing into rebalancing, because I do not have the guts (or faith) to buy such a huge chunk of equities all at once.
I've been buying a little bit once a week, on the same day each week.
But now I wonder if it's a good or bad idea to always buy on the same day. Does the market end down more often on Fridays than Mondays, for example?
I remember reading a study somewhere that the phases of the moon had a measurable effect on investing.
Has anyone seen such a study on days of the week? Or am I just overanalyzing a totally random decision?
Let the ridicule begin.
Some people believe that there is a Monday effect - that the market tends to go down more on Mondays than other days - and that therefore it should be a good day to DCA into the market.

The idea is that during the week everyone is to busy working to pay much attention to the market or to the rest of the world but we all go home on Friday and watch the evening news over the weekend (or pull it off the internet) and find out how bad everything is and decide to sell and Monday is the first opportunity to do that so the market tends to go down on that day.

I read a book once by an academic type where he statistically analyzed a lot of these sort of market inefficiencies and tried to determine if there really is an effect and if so can it be exploited. (Sorry don't remember the author or the name of the book.)

IRRC his conclusion was that there was some evidence for a Monday effect but that it was to small to exploit. But IRRC he seemed to conclude that on most market inefficiencies. (Of course if he did find one that he could exploit he probably would have forgot about the book and started a hedge fund.)

I'm basically an efficient market, index fund type but I dollar cost average in to my after tax funds on Mondays just on the off chance that there is an effect. If there is great, I'll have a bit more money than I would otherwise and if not I'm probably no worse off than I would be by doing it on some other day.

Now will this help you? Probably not I suspect unless you have a very large sample size, i.e. do you rebalancing over a very large number of weeks because otherwise the effect will be dominated by the noise.
mb is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 01:06 AM   #4
Frugality_of_Apathy
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Frugality_of_Apathy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 471
Last Monday was the high point for the week. When you cram a bunch of superstitious greedy frightened people in a room there is just no telling what they are going to decide things should cost. We're just lucky no one has set fire to the place yet.
Frugality_of_Apathy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 05:23 AM   #5
riskadverse
Full time employment: Posting here.
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 671
Oh were it that easy.
__________________
Random Reinforcement is Highly Addictive.
riskadverse is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 09:02 AM   #6
CuppaJoe
Moderator
 
CuppaJoe's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Northern California
Posts: 2,399
I'm into buying weakly, like putting one toe in at a time into very cold water. Maybe next month.
__________________
“Say the secret word, win $100.”--the one, the only, Groucho Marx
CuppaJoe is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 11:53 AM   #7
toofrugalformycat
Recycles dryer sheets
 
toofrugalformycat's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Anchorage
Posts: 408
Quote:
Originally Posted by CuppaJoe View Post
I'm into buying weakly, like putting one toe in at a time into very cold water. Maybe next month.
That's me, buying weekly, weakly.
I am certainly uncertain.
toofrugalformycat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 02:03 PM   #8
DblDoc
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 468
I read somewhere that after extensive study over a very long period of time through ups and downs of the markets the best day to buy was any day ending in the letter "y".

DD
DblDoc is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2008, 02:17 PM   #9
Bestwifeever
Moderator
 
Bestwifeever's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,228
I read that days ending in "y" were the worst days to buy!

But days starting in S were always good days in the markets....
Bestwifeever is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Weekly Workout Check-In amy5708 Health and Early Retirement 5 03-16-2008 07:09 AM
Weekly Physical Fitness? amy5708 Health and Early Retirement 4 03-08-2008 03:24 PM
Retirement Weekly mickeyd FIRE and Money 3 01-24-2006 05:26 PM
Hussman's weekly commentary greg FIRE and Money 8 10-25-2005 12:41 PM
John Mauldin's weekly e-letter wzd Life after FIRE 5 02-18-2005 12:52 PM


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 08:19 PM.

Other Social Knowledge forum communities:
Cooking Forum - Sailing Forum - Early Retirement - Airstream Trailer - Aquarium Forum - Royal Forum - Book Forum - Volkswagen Touareg Forum - Jeep Wrangler Forum - Whitewater Kayaking & Rafting Forum - Fiberglass RV Forum - RV Forum - Truck Conversion - U2 Music Forum
Social Knowledge Networks
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2009, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Search Engine Friendly URLs by vBSEO 3.2.0