ERD50
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
I've probably spent as much time trying to understand investing as I have engine repairs and it's still Greek to me. Investing that is, not engine repairs. ...
Then you are making it more complicated than it is. What is complicated about a 50-50 blend of a Total Stock Market ETF, and a Total Bond ETF?
Managing my investments though, is like gambling. I never really seem to read the players at the table with me right. ...
Now you sound like poster Boho, who is trailing badly in the stock market contest thread. It doesn't have to be about beating the other players, just get in the market and take a nap.
With investing, no one can predict future returns. ... You say it's just that easy, but it certainly isn't for people like me who worry about calling the shots on what represents decades of sweat off my brow. When I retired 5 years ago next month, and signed up for Fidelity to manage my portfolio, I was asked what my goal was. I told them I wanted to average 7% AFTER their fees. Checking yesterday, so far, they have. ...
That's interesting. As you say, no one can predict returns, so I'm curious how they responded to a "request" for 7% returns? I'd assume they did some historical analysis, and determined an AA that has met that return in the past? If they were able to meet that in the past 5 years, that is very likely more a factor of the market than any actions they took.
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And a conservative 50-50 blend of Eq/Fixed ETs returned higher than that (54.8%).... My portfolio has grown 42% since December of 2012. ...
Well, maybe 30 years ago, you were not informed that a simple indexing strategy can do so well. But today it is so easy.... Prior to that, for the almost 30 years I managed my accounts through my 401K and 457 and the limited choices those plans had for funds, I averaged less than half that; maybe 3 or 4%. ...
... Security is important to me, to the point that I, as an amateur, don't feel comfortable managing something that is so important to my standard of living. ...
But if the people managing your portfolio did ~ what a 50/50 DIY blend has done, they are very likely to be taking just as much risk as that. They simply don't have any magic that will provide those returns without the associated risk.
... Thanks for taking time to address my post. I am fortunate to have found this site and I wish I could feel comfortable managing my own investments, but it's like going to the dentist for me; terrified of the potential for pain after trying to nut through a toothache on my own. Just give me the knock-out gas and wake me gently when it's over. Ha!
And again, it seems to only because you've decided it's painful, not because it is.
Now, I see a later post your reply to Texas Proud, and I have to say you have a point - if it is so easy, his wife should be able to do it to. I plan to show Dw that this is all it takes. I'm not big on rebalancing, I can just tell her to make the RMDs from the side that is out of wack, and that's close enough. Now that's pretty easy, no?
-ERD50