... What do YOU predict will happen with my portfolio at the end of the trade talks? ....
Ditto to
SecondCor521, plus:
I don't make predictions on the market, or on sectors.
Here's what I do know - we may not be able to define the "end of the trade talks". I suspect there will always be another shoe to drop, it's not just one thing, it's complex. I think you are misguided to assume 3 months is particularly meaningful. And as
SecondCor521 alluded, this is baked in already.
And there are many, many other things affecting the market. No way to say that "the trade talks" will be the major mover over the next few months. We don't know what we don't know.
My observation on the contest is the same as it ever was. I expect that some traders will do better than the market, some will do worse. Maybe a few will be very, very close. I would not bet for, or against any individual, just too much possible variation in there.
But if you had any real, meaningful, skills to this, you would have moved ahead and stayed there, not flopped around like a fish out of water.
-ERD50