dex
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- Joined
- Oct 28, 2003
- Messages
- 5,105
Bloomberg.com: Worldwide
European Central Bank council member Ewald Nowotny said a ``tri-polar'' global currency system is developing between Asia, Europe and the U.S. and that he's skeptical the U.S. dollar's centrality can be revived.
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Follow the money. The US was the lone superpower. With our entitlement burdens and national debt (among other things) the power/influence of the US will decline and others will fill the vacuum. Over time power will be migrating to Asia (China/India) and Europe.
How this "Tri-polar" currency system develops is key. There are a lot of dollars outside the USA if other countries lower there holdings and demand for US treasuries there could be a large hike in US$ interest rates.
Investing wise take a look at international funds ex US, emerging markets and watch currency exchange rates.
A downside possibility is that countries manipulate their currencies (like China is doing and others do to stay within parity of the US$) in a new twist to the trade restrictions enacted during the depression. They keep their currency low to keep production in their country and keep employment up.
Short term - 1 year? - I think the dollar will strengthen slightly from the current rates. After that it weakens again. So now is a good time to buy foreign funds.
European Central Bank council member Ewald Nowotny said a ``tri-polar'' global currency system is developing between Asia, Europe and the U.S. and that he's skeptical the U.S. dollar's centrality can be revived.
++++++++++
Follow the money. The US was the lone superpower. With our entitlement burdens and national debt (among other things) the power/influence of the US will decline and others will fill the vacuum. Over time power will be migrating to Asia (China/India) and Europe.
How this "Tri-polar" currency system develops is key. There are a lot of dollars outside the USA if other countries lower there holdings and demand for US treasuries there could be a large hike in US$ interest rates.
Investing wise take a look at international funds ex US, emerging markets and watch currency exchange rates.
A downside possibility is that countries manipulate their currencies (like China is doing and others do to stay within parity of the US$) in a new twist to the trade restrictions enacted during the depression. They keep their currency low to keep production in their country and keep employment up.
Short term - 1 year? - I think the dollar will strengthen slightly from the current rates. After that it weakens again. So now is a good time to buy foreign funds.