What always scares me with any market timing scheme, no matter how "sophisticated" is the extraordinary opportunity for human error. Behavioral biases abound in the market. I have to ask, who could be arrogant enough to think they're smarter than the market, an amalgamation of the best and brightest? It's a dangerous road to travel, one littered with ghosts of the financially ruined.
For hundreds of years, in countries all over the world, again and again, in every kind of wild human get rich scheme imaginable some very wise and talented people have convinced themselves they could beat the market. Sometimes they're lucky, but as they say, even a stopped clock is right twice a day. Too, too much research, too, too much history, and even a plethora of posts on this board and others evidences people who won big only to later regret/hindsight/if only.
Predictions are noise, speculation, distracting at best. Who was it that said there are two kinds of economists (?), those that don't know and those that don't know they don't know. I'm no economist, but I know that I don't know.
