I think SecondCor521 above gave an informative answer. I can only add one other observation. I have only one, he started college this year. The programs he wanted to study were all out of state and when I did the sums, I was surprised to learn that private and out-of-state publics where he was admitted ended up about the same. Son took a small loan and got a scholarship so he has some skin in the game but as I look at the tuition and associated living costs, I think the money I've been saving since he was 3 years old and which I continue to contribute monthly to the 529 while he is in college, will just about get us through 4 years.
If there is left over which he won't be using for grad school, should that arise, I'd have no real qualms about paying the tax and 10% on gains. More likely, I'll stop contributing in year 4 and let any excess sit there for him or his kids in the future. Real point is college costs seem to be capable of pretty rapid increases so the sums I imagined needing 15 years ago look laughably naive now. I suppose people starting plans in 2021 with an eye to their kids attending college in 2038 will be in for the same experience. The 529 is never a decision I've regretted.
If there is left over which he won't be using for grad school, should that arise, I'd have no real qualms about paying the tax and 10% on gains. More likely, I'll stop contributing in year 4 and let any excess sit there for him or his kids in the future. Real point is college costs seem to be capable of pretty rapid increases so the sums I imagined needing 15 years ago look laughably naive now. I suppose people starting plans in 2021 with an eye to their kids attending college in 2038 will be in for the same experience. The 529 is never a decision I've regretted.