Re: Annuitieshttp://www.nofeeboards.com/boards/vie
At the time of Trinity's publication, valuations as measured either by p/e, p/b, or yield on the S&P 500 were considerably in excess of those "today".
Here's a link at which JWR1945 reports on what the historical data says re the SWRs that have applied at the valuation levels we have experienced from 1995 forward:
http://www.nofeeboards.com/boards/viewtopic.php?t=2657
JWR1945: "For those who are invested 80% in stocks, the Safe Withdrawal Rate bottomed out near 1.59%. It was below 2.00% from 1999-2001. It was below 3.00% from 1996 until today [the post was put up in June 2004]. The odds in favor of success are at least 50-50 in all cases with a withdrawal rate of 3.17% and lower. Except for 1998-2002, the odds in favor of success have been at least 50-50 at a withdrawal rate of 4.00%. Those who started withdrawing 5.00% in 1999-2000 are almost certain to run out of money within 30 years."
At the time of Trinity's publication, valuations as measured either by p/e, p/b, or yield on the S&P 500 were considerably in excess of those "today".
Here's a link at which JWR1945 reports on what the historical data says re the SWRs that have applied at the valuation levels we have experienced from 1995 forward:
http://www.nofeeboards.com/boards/viewtopic.php?t=2657
JWR1945: "For those who are invested 80% in stocks, the Safe Withdrawal Rate bottomed out near 1.59%. It was below 2.00% from 1999-2001. It was below 3.00% from 1996 until today [the post was put up in June 2004]. The odds in favor of success are at least 50-50 in all cases with a withdrawal rate of 3.17% and lower. Except for 1998-2002, the odds in favor of success have been at least 50-50 at a withdrawal rate of 4.00%. Those who started withdrawing 5.00% in 1999-2000 are almost certain to run out of money within 30 years."