FANOFJESUS
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
What do you think?
Among a handful of other drivers, I think a lot comes down to Italy.
If they can really get the lid on it and restart their economy, then yes, I think we've put in a bottom. Its a leading indicator.
If they can't get it under control in the next 10 days, then we may take another down leg as there isn't a viable model for other western economies to follow.
Maybe, maybe not.What do you think?
Yes. There will come a point when the question is easily answered by looking at the rear-view mirror. Looking through the windshield, no so much.I think we will know the answer by the end of December - maybe earlier.
We aren’t bending the curve yet. Lots more bad news to come.
Every USA curve I've looked at seems to be bending starting about 4 to 6 days ago. Perhaps that is due to the prior weeks being artificially steep due to the ramp-up in testing. FWIW, you must look at logarithmic curves to have any idea of the progress. There are far too many linear plots around, which are meaningless in tracking progress.