Financial Reform

Your opinion on Financial Reform

  • Wall Street needs/deserves a smack down (regulation to limit their activity)

    Votes: 26 92.9%
  • Everything is fine, Keep it status quo

    Votes: 1 3.6%
  • No optinion

    Votes: 1 3.6%

  • Total voters
    28
  • Poll closed .

chinaco

Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Joined
Feb 14, 2007
Messages
5,072
Try to forget your politics for a moment.

How many people want serious Financial Reform? Do you think the large Banks (all flavors), Insurance companies, Hedge Funds, etc that contributed to bubbles, market instability and economic instability require stiffer regulations?

Are you tired of getting the short end of the stick due to their misbehavior, or do you believe status quo is just fine?
 
I think the current legislation, at least as far as it has been covered in the press, does not address the core problem of investing funds and protecting from unnecessarily high risks.

As for the "short end," that's historical and you can't legislate it away.

-- Rita
 
Option 4 -- the devil is in the details. The status quo may not be acceptable, but that doesn't mean that *anything* to change it is a good idea.
 
I think I can hear the townsfolk coming up the drawbridge with their pitchforks. Seriously, this is not simple to fix but I agree it must be fixed. I would start with reform to the mortgage market (make it look more like Canada), phase out the deduction of mortgage interest for tax purposes. Reduce the number of regulators and encourage them to apply the spirit of the rules rather than the rules themselves. Then string the bastards up :)
 
Option 4 -- the devil is in the details. The status quo may not be acceptable, but that doesn't mean that *anything* to change it is a good idea.

Yes... agreed. But do you think they need to be reigned in or are you satisfied with the way things have gone over the last decade or so.
 
Yes... agreed. But do you think they need to be reigned in or are you satisfied with the way things have gone over the last decade or so.
That's a rather loaded way to put it. Sounds like you're steering people to the answer you want them to give in how you word this.

Sure, in some areas there should be some reforms but I'm not going to answer "yes" or "no" without specifics. As I said before, I may want change but that doesn't mean I want *any* change just to show we did something about it. I want to know the specifics and the potential benefits and consequences. Without that I stick to option 4.
 
Try to forget your politics for a moment.

How many people want serious Financial Reform? Do you think the large Banks (all flavors), Insurance companies, Hedge Funds, etc that contributed to bubbles, market instability and economic instability require stiffer regulations?

Are you tired of getting the short end of the stick due to their misbehavior, or do you believe status quo is just fine?


Could you add a couple of choices to this interesting poll? (just to be fair and balanced.)

I believe that people who took out mortgages and HELOCS they couldn't afford and then walked away from their financial obligations contributed to bubbles, market instability and economic instability and require stiffer regulations.

I am tired of getting the brown end of the stick due to their financial misbehavior, and do not believe the status quo of bailouts and handouts is just fine.

Thanks!
 
You could better have asked do we need reform or are things OK as they are. Then you would get 100% on one side of the equation. I voted for "reform" but I didn't like the question. For one thing I don't think reform should be motivated by "smack down." What we need are reforms that try in good faith to protect the economy while not needlessly constraining the players. That will be hard to identify and open to multiple interpretations. I hope all sides are willing to compromise at least to a degree and don't demand the perfect when the good is in reach. Or worse, torpedo the process for perceived political gain.
 
Poor choices.
No, I don't think the 'status quo' is any good.
Yes, this must be fixed.
But your answers are extreme. I believe many (please note, I did not say 'all') of the tools for regulation are already in place, they just weren't used.
 
I believe many (please note, I did not say 'all') of the tools for regulation are already in place, they just weren't used.
Agreed. Some of the "scandals" I'm hearing about were doing things that are already illegal, but the regulators were asleep at the switch. They need to be awakened. Also, there's only so much good passing new laws will do when it's already established that regulators are having trouble enforcing existing law.
 
Agreed. Some of the "scandals" I'm hearing about were doing things that are already illegal, but the regulators were asleep at the switch.

Sounds like a need for a law right there.

Also, there's only so much good passing new laws will do when it's already established that regulators are having trouble enforcing existing law.

Would giving the regulators enforcement power really work? If so, then a singular new law would be sufficient.
 
Would giving the regulators enforcement power really work? If so, then a singular new law would be sufficient.
To the extent the problem is that the regulators have their hands tied by existing restrictions on their authority, that might help, yes.

I mean, without that it's like adding more traffic laws when there are no police on the road to enforce the existing ones. If there's no fear of being busted by the authorities for speeding or driving drunk, you won't deter many people -- so what good would new traffic laws do when they also go unenforced?
 
I believe many (please note, I did not say 'all') of the tools for regulation are already in place, they just weren't used.
I voted #1, but here is my preferred answer...
 
The devil is in the details.

I see two or three core issues I would like addressed.

1) How much leverage any investment can have. I realize our banking system depends on leverage. I remember seeing a graph about how a $100 deposit at one bank can be something like $1000 in the banking system...

Bank A accepts $100 deposit and keeps $10 and lends $90
Bank B accepts $90 deposit and keeps $9 and lends $81
Bank C accepts $81 deposit and keeps $8 and lends $73
and so on...

it is really a ponzi scheme... so the best course of action would be limit the run on banks, and also restrict how much additional leverage is added to the already highly leveraged system.

2) The ethical standards of the people and companies need serious work. Of course the ethical standards of the politicians we are asking to change the system or solve the problem **might** be much worse LOL.

3) The interdependence of every institution on every other institution might be a flaw (not sure). Too big to fail to me is clearly an excuse, its not really true (the one thing I would have wanted Bush to do was let them fail and let the whole economy crash quickl... if that were really the result... giving the unethical people $800 billion was not a good solution). Let them fail and see what happens.
 
I believe that people who took out mortgages and HELOCS they couldn't afford and then walked away from their financial obligations contributed to bubbles, market instability and economic instability and require stiffer regulations.

I am tired of getting the brown end of the stick due to their financial misbehavior, and do not believe the status quo of bailouts and handouts is just fine.
You might this testimony from CSPAN interesting.
YouTube - Bill Black's eye-popping opening statement at House FinServ hearing on Lehman Bros. failure
 
You might this testimony from CSPAN interesting.

YouTube - Bill Black's eye-popping opening statement at House FinServ hearing on Lehman Bros. failure

Thanks. It is refreshing to see someone who has been involved in the bureaucratic mess trying to fix a problem "calling it like it is".

All of the checks and balances broke down because everyone was making money or the culture of the different organizations (including regulators) was to look the other way... or at least not to look too closely lest something is found that disrupts the money grab and then the subsequent political blow back from congress and the administration (last several congresses and administrations) for "interference".
 
I believe that people who took out mortgages and HELOCS they couldn't afford and then walked away from their financial obligations contributed to bubbles, market instability and economic instability and require stiffer regulations.

So then would you support a strong and independent Consumer Protection Agency?

I don't have a strong view myself, but it would seem to address this particular problem. It's worth noting that people haven't been blaming Toyota customers for buying cars with defective accelerators. It's also worth noting that, in many instances, the most complicated mortgages (pay option ARMS) were marketed to those least able to assess the risks (sub-prime borrowers). It's also worth remembering that many borrowers could afford the initial terms and were told by lenders they viewed as "financial experts" that they'd have no problems refinancing before the payments stepped up.

In other areas financial advisers have a fiduciary responsibility to their clients . . . to not sell them products that are unsuitable for them. We typically don't blame grandma for putting her life savings in commodity futures, we blame the "nice" financial adviser who sold her an unsuitable product.
 
1. I believe Lehman's role in packaging and marketing the "liars loans" was reprehensible, and that quite a few of their senior management folks should be rotting in prison, aka Bernie Madoff and Ken Lay.

2. Borrowing money is a personal responsibility, whether it is for a new home, a college education or crystal meth. No one forced people to buy homes they couldn't afford. DW and I could qualify for a mortgage 5X what we are paying, but we know it isn't realistic. What really irks me in this whole mess is the emergence and encouragement of the victim mentality in this debacle -"it wasn't my fault, the evil bankers told me I could afford a new 300K home on $10/hour. And I needed all new furniture and jet skis, all the neighbors had them" And.... "now I expect the folks who played by the rules, lived below their means, and whose own home equity and stock portfolios I trashed when the bank foreclosed on my place next door at 50cents on the dollar to step up and pay higher taxes to bail my stupid a$$ out- it's not my fault, it was the (insert viillan of your choice here). Where's my check, I'm entitled to it... sheesh, all I did was lie about my income on my loan application? ".
 
1. I believe Lehman's role in packaging and marketing the "liars loans" was reprehensible, and that quite a few of their senior management folks should be rotting in prison, aka Bernie Madoff and Ken Lay.

2. Borrowing money is a personal responsibility, whether it is for a new home, a college education or crystal meth. No one forced people to buy homes they couldn't afford. DW and I could qualify for a mortgage 5X what we are paying, but we know it isn't realistic. What really irks me in this whole mess is the emergence and encouragement of the victim mentality in this debacle -"it wasn't my fault, the evil bankers told me I could afford a new 300K home on $10/hour. And I needed all new furniture and jet skis, all the neighbors had them" And.... "now I expect the folks who played by the rules, lived below their means, and whose own home equity and stock portfolios I trashed when the bank foreclosed on my place next door at 50cents on the dollar to step up and pay higher taxes to bail my stupid a$$ out- it's not my fault, it was the (insert viillan of your choice here). Where's my check, I'm entitled to it... sheesh, all I did was lie about my income on my loan application? ".

I don't disagree with a lot you have said here. I am mad about it too. Although I do think it is really evil for mortgage brokers to deliberately mislead stupid and ignorant people. The argument smacks of "It is their fault for believing me. Everybody knows I am a crook."

I believe that the most reasonable way to fix this is to dry up the market for such loans: to force the originator to keep some skin in the game and to force the rating agencies to do their jobs. For example, banks can now choose the rating agencies to choose which agency they want as an overseer, creating a race-for-the bottom among regulators, whose budgets depend on the number of banks regulated.

Don't forget that the first bailout bill (created by the previous administration) was a real piece of work, including a measure that would have absolved its big-wigs from any legal responsibility. We only managed to defeat it though a massive letter-writing campaign. I admit that I know precious little about the present bill, and haven't decided whether I endorse it or not, but I reject the idea that we should just do nothing, or tear the thing up and wait for a possible republican-controlled congress after November and start over.

There have always been poor people who are bitter about their place in life and perfectly happy to game the system whenever possible. The problem is that the present system created an army of retail mortgage brokers whose livelihood depended on misleading these folks into believing that they could indeed afford these loan by easily refinancing a few years later, having them sign forms containing blank spaces, or wink-wink nugde-nudge.. everybody does it. One of them even tried something like that on me!

It has always been incumbent on the lender to vet applicants and to be able so say NO. Wall street created a system that was the opposite. Retail brokers had every incentive to cheat. Indeed, their paychecks depended on it. The most reasonable way to return to a working system is to remove the lucrative market for crappy loans, and that starts at the top, not the bottom.

Presently banks can choose which regulating agency they want as an overseer. Since the agencies are paid by their number of clients, that has created a race to the bottom among the agencies. End this system with a unified agency with some teeth in it that can require reasonable reserve requirement, and to require that banks retain a healthy percentage of the loans they originate, and you will see a return to reasonable lending standards: things like verified employment records and reasonable down payments. If a liberal congress wants to increase home ownership among the poor, let them (try) do it do it through direct subsidies or grants.

There is plenty of blame to go around, but to place the entire blame of the people who took out mortgages who couldn't afford them is to side with the wall street magnates who pocketed those billions of taxpayer money. Except for the rather paltry Obama mortgage remediation efforts, the vast majority of those billions went to wall street, not the mortgage payers. Goldman received 100 cents on the dollar for its credit default swaps against AIG, and maybe Lehman too.

The changes to the Net Capitalization Rule allowed Bear, Goldman, Lehman, Merrill, and Mogan (and only those) to operate with unlimited leverage. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act partially repealed Glass-Steagall and allowed unregulated trade of derivatives. These are the kinds of misguided deregulatory efforts that we need to role back. What justification is there for allowing primary brokers to sell billions of insurance (with no reserve capital requirements) in the form of credit default swaps to folks who don't own the underlying bonds? And worse, AIG was somehow allowed to encumber their reserve capital (required by state insurance regulators to back up their "regular" insurance businesses), to allow their crazy London Financial Products group who sold this policies to sport a AAA rating.

Rant off. IP is grouchy again this morning.
 
I believe that the most reasonable way to fix this is to dry up the market for such loans: to force the originator to keep some skin in the game and to force the rating agencies to do their jobs.
I can see this. Originators have little incentive to make a "quality" loan if they can successfully package a toxic mortgage as "investment quality" to sell and make someone else's problem.

I don't think it's a coincidence that many of the small banks and credit unions which don't package and sell the mortgages they originate (they keep them on their books) had more conservative lending standards and didn't blow up.
 
A couple of thoughts.

1) It's difficult to generalize. Some people took out loans where they knew they were in over their heads. Some people took out loans they thought they could afford, but couldn't. Do the majority of defaulting borrowers fall into one category or the other? I don't think their are any statistics on this because it is too subjective. But I have a hard time believing that a majority of people took out loans that they knew they couldn't afford. To what end?

2) Defaulting isn't without consequences. It's not true that people acted irresponsibly and didn't pay a price. Personal bankruptcy, home foreclosure, etc, isn't something anyone aspires too. Ever since we've outlawed debtors prison, the consequence for not paying debts is asset foreclosure and bankruptcy. That's pretty much whats happening now. I'm not sure what more anyone wants or expects.

3) Few homeowners have been "bailed out". According to Bloomberg only 66,000 mortgages have been permanently modified. One can certainly argue whether the government should help modify any loans, but it would be an overstatement to say that even a significant minority of borrowers have been "bailed out with tax payer dollars". The same can not be said for some of the lenders.

4) People who made, and enabled, bad loans have fared far better in many instances than those who took out bad loans. While the consequences of bankruptcy and foreclosure are pretty clear for the borrower, what were the consequences for the individual lender? Did they give back their commissions and bonuses that were paid out of those borrowed funds?
 
There are major flaws in the US mortgage market. 1) Banks can't afford to keep most mortgages on their books because they can't hedge the interest rate risk 2) They can't hedge the interest rate risk due to the imbedded option the borrower has to refinance and the term of the mortgages are so long (often 30 years) 3) There is a built in incentive to borrow too much (tax deductibility of mortgage interest) The solution to not holding mortgages on their books involve repackaging them off to other investors. As you know this caused significant problems. Mortgage originators didn't have to worry about repayment. These are not problems in Canada because: 1) terms are usually less than 5 years (amortization usually starts at 25 years). 2)No refinance option without paying penalties that approximate the lower interest rate. 3)No deductibility of interest unless used to earn income. Cdn banks keep most of the mortgages they originate on their books. Do you think the American people would support a Canadian type solution? I doubt it.
 
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I don't think the pre-payment option has much to do with the crisis. FHA loans without a pre-payment penalty go back to at least the 1940s. Interest rate risk is hedged dynamically based on historic pre-payment patterns. It's not a perfect hedge, but I can't recall the last lender who blew up because they botched their interest rate hedge.
 
Agree about the interest rate hedge (although the S&L crisis of the early 90's did). But this was the original reason banks started to sell their originated mortgages off. Wasn't credit risk as many of those mortgages were insured. Canadian banks generally keep their mortgages on their books and the hedging is pretty easy. Texas proud- I was trying to explain and propose changes to the US mortgage market which in my opinion would help prevent the kind of problems you have had in your financial markets. Keep in mind this was a real estate related problem that started it.
 
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