The Rise and Fall and Rise of Iceland

Thanks. Interesting article...


Once they settle the issues they will have some debt overhang... but it will be manageable. They will become prosperous.

Iceland has some natural resources, but not enough to make the country extremely wealthy. They were going to sign sign some oil exploration leases before the melt down... if they follow through that might yield some GDP growth if oil is found. It seems that they rely heavily on the fishing industry.


If nothing else, you would think they could use their endless geothermal resources as low cost energy to convert energy (like water to hydrogen)... or other chemical conversion processes... and be in the middle of some sort of supply chain on a large industrial (but ecologically friendly) scale.

With a population of 319,000.... you would think their natural resources (although scant) would be enough to make everyone a big royalty check yearly.
 
Actually there was a move to build an aluminum plant in Iceland. All the geothermal could be used to make electricity which is heavily used in making Al.
 
Actually there was a move to build an aluminum plant in Iceland. All the geothermal could be used to make electricity which is heavily used in making Al.


Since they have a small population, they could setup a special worker visa and get low cost help from other countries (but pay a fair wage), exploit the energy source, take a slice in taxes, and be the aluminum producer for the world. Obviously they would attract foreign investment to build the plants.

Another item that is energy intensive is the production of hydrogen.

Their GDP is $12.3B. They might be able to double their GDP fairly quickly.
 
Another item that is energy intensive is the production of hydrogen.

Iceland is developing hydrogen as a car fuel, they hope to be able to greatly reduce their oil imports.

FYI I'm going their for a 3 week vacation soon.
 
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