I was hoping for a continued drop in cases and deaths, too.
Dr. Duc Vuong thinks the recent drop was merely due to cold weather in much of the country thus keeping people at home, along with the "meh" months of January and February that don't have holidays (after NYE) that result in big gatherings. He's predicting that warmer weather will start bringing people out to mix and mingle, plus celebrations due to St. Patrick's and Easter. He's also surmising that seniors, vacationers, and spring breakers in Florida (an area with the more virulent UK variant of Covid) will be carrying that variant home with them, thus spreading it further around the country. He's forecasting that these, along with Covid fatigue (less care in masking, social distancing, less testing, etc.) will result in a fourth wave.
Time will tell.
omni