Amethyst
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Dec 21, 2008
- Messages
- 12,689
I'm shocked that it ignores family cardiac and diabetes history.
OP here. Some excellent responses and web sites to check out. A couple of people asked about a real risk assessment for cardiac problems. This web site was referenced in the doc's talk:
ACC/AHA ASCVD Risk Calculator
It's supposed to assess cardiovascular risk based on American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines. I did the assessment using my actual data and it said I had a 10 year 23% risk for heart disease or stroke. (I am 71 now.) It also said there was insufficient evidence that starting a low-dose aspirin would help but recommended a moderate to high intensity statin.
I was a little bothered by the high percentage since I consider myself to be in pretty good shape for an old guy. I then played around with the variables that I can presumably control (like cholesterol) and found very small decreases (like from 23% to 21%) in my risk if I get my cholesterol down to ideal levels. So I concluded that at my age the benefit would be modest indeed if I were to start a statin AND if it were to have the desired effect. My biggest risk factors are apparently my sex and age which I can't do much about.
I also noted that the calculator didn't ask anything about physical/aerobic exercise (which I do a lot of) although I suppose that could indirectly be factored into the blood pressure number. Nor did it ask about weight/BMI.
I've had several primary care docs over the past 25 years and have always had cholesterol on the high side. Since none of them have recommended a statin I guess I should trust their collective judgment more than an on-line calculator or a speaker's breakfast talk.