Warm Hello to You ALL.......

destiny75

Confused about dryer sheets
Joined
Dec 20, 2009
Messages
4
Hi Guys - I have been very fortunate to have found this forum and have been a passive reader for the last six months now. I am very impressed with the knowledge and practicality that so many of you guys have here. Your posts have helped reinforce several core concepts which somehow I lost focus of over the years.

I would like to introduce myself and my current situation and would like some responses from some of you guys. I am male, 35, married (no children yet but planning to start a family in the next 2 years). I work in financial services industry. Just like so many of you guys here I dont want to work for somebody else. I want to pursue my passion - day trading and swing trading in the markets full time. I have a very strong passion for the stock market, futures and forex. I have tried trading in the evenings and nights and have had mixed results (not the ideal time to trade but thats what is available if I keep a day job). I have accumulated a lot of experience and knowledge using technical analysis, money mangament etc. I know day trading has very low success rates and requires solid discipline but I wouldnt know I have it until I try it.

On to my assets I own a fully paid apartment in manhattan (market value $1.25 million or so). My 401k has 250k and my liquid investments most of which are primarily in savings and CDs are approx. $4.25 million. (Wife just started working but I would like to leave out any assets she accumulates from our net worth- its for her to do what she wants with it).

My expenses are approx. $50,000 per year currently. (on the high side). Health insurance from my wife's employer shoud I quit.

So my questions:

(1) Do I have enough to leave my day job and start day-trading? (Lets assume my income from trading will be ZERO- no income and importantly no losses). Could i live off my net worth for say 65 years out? (100 year life expectancy just to be absolutely on the safe side). Inflation thoughts make me go dizzy. Thats why the uncertainty.

(2) Im pretty much all in cash, savings, CD, short term bonds and negligible equity ( had been selling my equity during this run up - sold at S&P 800, then 850, then 900, rest at 950 convinced each time market aint going higher). Have been feeling like a fool for quite a few months now and consequently find myself all in cash only to hear everbody shorting USD and buying gold :). SO I have approx. 4.5 million to invest and the allocation and timing makes me dizzy again. What allocations would you suggest if I were to quit my job and start day trading full time? And within what time frame should i execute those?

(3) I have an option to even relocate to the suburbs where my expenses will reduce from 50k to 40k (renting an apt) and if I do that I would then have my current condo netting me a net after tax income of approx $20-25k (so my net expenses would then be 15-20k only). Is this a game changer? Would I even need to do that? Am I just thinking too much?

(4) Quality of life - I dont really need retirement but freedom to day trade. I could be on the computer working hard 16 hours because of the passion and interest i have for the markets. I dont know how long I live but do you guys think it is time for me to just do what I want even if it means quitting from a job that pays great (500K+), decent prestige etc etc. ( assume If I quit here I dont think i will ever make this kind of money in another job ever - maybe 100-150k max if at all).

Thanks for the patience in reading this email and I sincerely apologize for it being long winded. This email is still a tiny fraction of the true cross currents of thinking and hypothizing and philosophying that go in my tiny little brain.

Thanks guys.
 
Destiny, welcome to the forum.

(1) Do I have enough to leave my day job and start day-trading?
No.
Could i live off my net worth for say 65 years out?
Not unless you change your career plans.
What allocations would you suggest if I were to quit my job and start day trading full time? And within what time frame should i execute those?
I'd strongly recommend buying SPIA's from several different insurers with virtually all your $4.5M. Do it immediately. That way you'll have less available to risk at day trading.
I have an option to even relocate to the suburbs where my expenses will reduce from 50k to 40k (renting an apt) and if I do that I would then have my current condo netting me a net after tax income of approx $20-25k (so my net expenses would then be 15-20k only). Is this a game changer? Would I even need to do that? Am I just thinking too much?
With a portfolio of $4.5M and an annual income of $500K, this appears to be chump change. Why lower your standard of living when you'll be making big bucks in the market.
So my questions:
Before you get upset at my responses, remember, you asked. :)
***********
In case you aren't aware, the above response is tongue-in-cheek...well, some of it is. If you've been reading this board for a while then you shouldn't be surprised at the "what the hell are you thinking?" responses you will likely get from your post. We tend to be a somewhat financially conservative group and view terms like "day trading" and "forex" as synonymous with "crack cocaine" and "heroin".

My recommendation: move to a lower cost of living area, retire, find some affordable hobbies and enjoy life. If you aren't ready to do that, then don't quit your day job.
 
Welcome Destiny:

You are already rich. Do you need to be richer? If the answer is "yes", ask yourself why. For what is money a substitute? Because, by any objective standard, you don't need more.

With liquid assets exceeding $4.5 million (over $5.5 million if you sell the apartment and move someplace with normal housing costs) and annual expenses of only $50k, it would seem that you can easily retire, invest all your money in TIPS and live happily ever after. Unless, of course, you manage to "get poor quick" by day trading. Could you have as much fun trading, say, $500k (about 10% of your nest egg)? Then set aside $5 million in conservative investments to support your life and $500k play money to trade. You'll have to quit trading when you run out though (and you probably will at some point).
 
I'm with Gumby here. Frankly, I wouldn't even day trade at all, not with the risk of losing too much money. It seems to me that $4.5M could generate $90,000 a year, adjusted for inflation, using a very conservative 2% withdrawal rate. And if you only needed $50,000, that requires only slightly more than a 1% withdrawal rate which would allow a conservative asset allocation such as 40/60 or 50/50 (quite conservative for a 35-year-old but more than enough to generate a 1-2% safe withdrawal rate using history as a guide). Heck, with kind of seed money, I'd even consider SPIAs with a portion of it just to guarantee a modest lifetime income stream -- keep some of it away from the temptation of "get rich quick" streams (especially when someone is already rather wealthy). So why take unnecessary risks with most of your money?

If you're just attracted to the "thrill" of day trading, you have enough to firewall $4 million or more into safer investments you don't touch, and use the rest as "Vegas money" to play the market for fun.

And one more thing here: You mention that you have " Health insurance from my wife's employer shoud I quit". How secure is that job of hers? And are you sure she won't be resentful if she needs to keep working for health insurance even as you start living a more leisurely lifestyle?

Personally, if I had even half of what you have, I'd be outta there so fast it would make your head spin -- with $2M I'd be taking out $50K per year at a 2.5% withdrawal rate and using something like a 50/50 or 60/40 asset allocation -- and not look back.
 
Hi Destiny, welcome from a fellow New Yorker who also works in the industry.


You won't find much support for day trading on this forum, as you've no doubt already gathered. Having said that, FIRECalc definitely believes you can make it 65 years on a 4.5MM nest egg taking out 50k per year, and that includes adjusting your withdrawal rate for inflation.


But let me ask - how realistic is 50k in Manhattan? Are you assuming your wife's income covers a lot of expenses besides her own play money? Also, if you're planning out to 100 you'll have to assume your wife retires at some point and then you'll both need to buy healthcare and anything else you assumed would be covered by her.


Again, welcome to the board.
 
The $50K per year expense piece doesn't jive with me, for Manhattan. Did I miss a decimal point? What are the taxes and insurance alone on a > 1mm home? How do you get to work? Car? Insurance and parking or maintenance. Just going to dinner and a move or a game is a quick couple of hundred.

The whole scenario somehow doesn't feel realistic to me. But if it is, you can set aside $1.5mm and live off that forever, leaving $3mm to invest in whatever way you want.
 
I agree with Gumby, but I' skeptical like Rich. Not only can I not imagine living expenses in NYC being just $50,000, but I'm having trouble seeing how destiny75 could have amassed so much cash by age 35 - presumably in the financial industry - while apparently not having an idea how to invest it. The whole story just doesn't ring true, unless there's an inheritance involved. But I am keeping an open mind and am willing to be proven wrong. And, by the way, $50,000 a year would be conservative spending even in my neck of the woods if there are children!
 
The $50K per year expense piece doesn't jive with me, for Manhattan. Did I miss a decimal point? What are the taxes and insurance alone on a > 1mm home? How do you get to work? Car? Insurance and parking or maintenance. Just going to dinner and a move or a game is a quick couple of hundred.
....
I don't own an apt. but live on just under $40K in a high rent central part of a left coast city, my SO contributes nothing to my finances, I buy my own insurance coverage, and don't own a car. Dinner and a movie? About $25 each tops at local ethic places, less than $10 for the movie, $40 each is a splurge for dinner; we went out last Monday to a Spanish/Mexican place, turned out to be $5.00 night, total tab for two was $29.00.

We have $11 tickets for New Years Eve Charlie Chaplin movies with live organ music at a cathedral on the hill. We'll have a $15.00 cafe dinner beforehand and will get around on free (New Year's Eve) transit or maybe a $10 cab ride, may stop in somewhere for an expensive drink and tour the nearby first class hotel lobbies to check out their decorations.

My budget allows a lot of space for expensive theater, opera, symphony, etc. tickets because I have no travel/car expenses at the moment. Day outings don't cost much, a lot of it is free, walking, exploring the city, free days at museums, we've just taken up no-cost geocaching and eat at home a lot.

But I also see Rich_in_Tampa and Meadbh's point. If I had ever had a $500K income, I wouldn't have developed these kinds of habits. Welcome, Destiny75:greetings10: I'd be very interested to hear about your expense breakdown. If you spend most of your time at a computer, where is the time to spend? Just kidding.:greetings10: btw, a lot of the financially savvy posters here are gals!
 
That's impressive, Cuppa. Don't know if you've been to Manhattan recently, but wonder if it would be the same cost there.

OTOH you're doing great on a reasonable budget so maybe I'm way off on estimates for the OP.
 
... I'm having trouble seeing how destiny75 could have amassed so much cash by age 35 - presumably in the financial industry - while apparently not having an idea how to invest it...

I know plenty of folks like that. Someone might make lots of money trading interest rate futures or structured credit products (for example) but has no exposure whatsoever to retail investing. Plus, many in those shoes would be heavily inclined to market timing and wouldn't know who Jack Bogle or William Bernstein were. In fact, a few years ago I gave out copies of 'Intelligent Asset Allocator' to my staff (purchased at my expense) along with their bonus letters.

Destiny - I'm not implying any of the above applies to you, just letting the OP know that such a type is pretty common.
 
That is a lot of money in "savings and CDs" for someone who wants to be a day trader. It doesn't sound like the investment choices of someone with high risk appetite (which I ascribe to traders). Will you not trade your own $$?

That's a healthy nest egg, at any rate. Good luck with whatever you choose to do, because IMHO you can choose to do anything.
 
That's impressive, Cuppa. Don't know if you've been to Manhattan recently, but wonder if it would be the same cost there...

I wonder about the cost differences, too. My area is very compact which could explain, in part, why it is affordable for me; I also do the thing of "living like a resident rather than a tourist" which, of course, can be a lot cheaper. Rent control helps but my apt. is still very expensive compared to those in a smaller city or rural area. I'd like to hear from NYC or other expensive city residents about their expenses; I know some of you live near me. My family and most of my friends have always been seriously into LBYM and I never really stopped "living like a student" which still seems comfortable.

The lines here in quotes come from Paul Terhorst's ideas which I swear by and haven't seen elsewhere. His book didn't change my ways, it just validated them and encouraged me to continue on and retire as early as possible.
 
Original Poster of this thread here guys. Thank you for the responses so far. I appreciate it and would like to address them.

Rewahoo - No I am not upset with your responses. On the contrary grateful that you took some time to respond to my questions. I could think of a million other things you could have done instead and so thank you. I understand your skepticism on day trading and the facts on it support you. To me daytrading is like laying your cash on the ground, putting kerosene on it and lighting a match stick just above it :) I think I have made solid progress on money management on the trades I put on and still learning. Hopefully over time I will master not to drop the lighted match stick or at the very least warding it off in midair away from my cash :) Also retirement doesnt mean anything to me if I dont trade. I dont really have any other plans or major interests. If I dont get to day trade I might as well just hang on to my job.

Gumby - Thanks for your response. I agree with you I am not after more money. Infact my goal from day trading is not even to make loads of money. If I can make just enough to pay all or even the majority of my bills I will be pretty happy. It is the process of being in the markets that I love. I think $500k to day trade is a lot. I usually trade index futures and forex and $200K is more than enough. (The goal initially is to make approx. $350 per day). But you raise a scary point. What if I leave my job and trade and lose $200k over 1-2 years, lose another $200k if I continue and then another. When do I just quit day-trading then and if I quit what will I do then? Get back in the job market I guess as I dont have any other interests to puruse that needs my full time attention. I haven't thought much about failing but all my focus is on very strong money management on my trades. I dont want to sound as if I think failing is not an option but at the same time dont want the fear of failing stop me from pursuing the life style/career I want.

Ziggy29 - I think a lot of what I posted above applies to responding to you too. Thanks for your response. My wife just started working in a six figure paying job and while I would not want to consider her salary as a part of our nest egg I do assume that we depend on her work's health insurance. If she loses her job and decides to never work again (very unlikely as she hates sitting at home) then I guess I am out of pocket by approx. $1,500 a month or so right (approx. 18k a year). That would increase my annual expenses from approx. 50k to 70k or so. Looks like my current assets could still support it but of course the pressure is greater. Lets see what magic Mr President does with his health care reforms :)

Maurice & Rich in Tampa - Thank you for your responses. Both of you express concerns about 50k not being enough in Manhattan. Actually with my lifestyle it works. I like to trade more than get drunk. I hardly eat out and I dont enjoy broadway shows or live sporting events :). A breakdown of my monthly expenses

Condo manintenance/tax/insurance = $2300
Utilities/Gym = $410
Food/Grocery etc = $840
Sundries/Other basics = $300
Budgeted Discretionary = $700

The above is approx. $4550 per month or approx. 54,600 per year. Assuming tax deductibility on property taxes I coud recoup approx. $2500-$3500 back. So we are in the 50k vicinity give or take. Now if I have to pay health insurance I will be at the 68-70k vicinity.


Meadbh and Maurice - The 50K is explained above. Now regards to Meadbh's question as to how I amassed all this cash without knowing how to invest it. Maurice pretty much summed it well in his response. I was into event driven arbitrage at my job and mainly a market timer with my personal investments. I dont recall holding anything for more than a couple of days. Even solid investments I would make for long term in stocks would be sold into the market upon some appreciation. I have been unable to stick to anything I buy. The trading mentality has consumed me I guess. But now I have to get back to the core investment principles if I need my money to work for me and grant me financial independence so I could quit and pursue my passion. Ultimately market timing never works I understand. But I guess I need to invest most of my assets in a conventional approach so that I get the flexibility to quit my job and day trade and market time a small pot of my assets for life. (sounding messed up huh?)

The question is how do I begin to invest 4.5 million when all these years I have only been in and out of the market. Stocks look expensive, bonds look expensive, gold and oil too....hell everything looks too expensive. I have to curb this mindset of trying to catch a bottom and begin. Over what timeline would you guys invest this 4.5 million ? The stock market is just in a quandry (still 30% cheap from oct 2007 but 60% more expensive from March 2009 sheeshhhhh.....)

Cuppa Joe - I am not surprised most of the savvy posters here are gals. They tend to be less impulsive with minimal market timing aspirations. I have given a breakdown of my expenses above . Thanks for your reply.
 
Yes you can live in an expensive metropolitan area without spending a bundle. I live in the same area as CuppaJoe, and even with SUBSTANTIAL extras in my budget that Cuppa doesn't have (sinking account for a car I never drive, house cleaning service, eating out a lot, loans/ gifts to family, very high property taxes and a large travel budget), net of mortgage P&I I spend about $70K a year. I could get it to about $55K without noticing, lower if I consciously looked for dining, entertainment and travel options that were cheaper.
 
Welcome , I can see living on a low budget in Manhattan ( and $50,000 is a low budget )when you are 35 with no children but since you want to have children why not just move somewhere less expensive take a portion of your savings and keep it safe . Take another portion and day trade . You will learn pretty quickly if day trading is for you .
 
To me daytrading is like laying your cash on the ground, putting kerosene on it and lighting a match stick just above it :) I think I have made solid progress on money management on the trades I put on and still learning. Hopefully over time I will master not to drop the lighted match stick or at the very least warding it off in midair away from my cash :) Also retirement doesnt mean anything to me if I dont trade. I dont really have any other plans or major interests. If I dont get to day trade I might as well just hang on to my job.
destiny75 said:
When do I just quit day-trading then and if I quit what will I do then? Get back in the job market I guess as I dont have any other interests to puruse that needs my full time attention.

I would recommend reading the above two quotes taken from your last post, over and over at least 25 times. Does anything about what you said bother you at all?

It bothers me. First, there is the part about having no other plans or interests than day-trading. This is despite the fact that you regard it as simply burning up your money. I do not mean to be negative or critical, but honestly my recommendation is to forget retirement until you have developed some less self-destructive, less addictive interests. Which is not to say that day-trading is like that for everyone, but you are saying (in the above quotes) that you respond to day-trading in this way.
 
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Destiny75, thanks for the added details. I understand you much better now!

It seems to me that you have been both skilled and lucky in building up such a great portfolio by age 35. You have taken risks and prospered. To paraphrase Moshe Milevsky (whose work I recommend) you have used your human capital to generate financial capital. What's important now is to preserve that capital going forward.

Day trading is inherently volatile and risky. You admit that you don't expect to make a lot of money on it. On the other hand, you could lose your shirt. So don't bet the farm on it. You've got wealth, now you need wealth preservation. I agree with Gumby that you should allocate no more than 5-10% of your portfolio to day trading, and invest the rest in a mix of less volatile asset classes. Finding the right mix for you is a whole discussion. But if the priority is to preserve your capital, a good chunk of fixed income is probably appropriate. Also, think outside the financial instruments box and consider alternative investments such as commodities and property (Calmloki is one of our resident experts in that area and I am building a nice property portfolio myself).

I learnt today that it's possible to attain specialist expertise in arbitrage without a sound knowledge of general finance. I'm just a physician, but I have been educating myself for some time, at this Forum and others, and by taking courses. I do have an MBA (no finance specialization) which got me hooked on finance, and subsequently I chose to take the (self study) Canadian Securities Course, which has made me a much more savvy investor. I've also audited their course on wealth management. There must be similar courses available in the US or even at your workplace. You would breeze through them.
 
What W2R said, again. I don't mean to sound patronizing, but I think that for the good of your health and your future you need to get a life outside of trading. There are so many wonderful things to do that don't involve sitting at a computer 16 hours a day frenziedly trading securities. And many of them are free.
 
Yep...you could spend 16 hours a day on this forum....:whistle:

By the way, welcome. :)
 
Well, if you lose your shirt day trading, you could probably take up poker or blackjack.

No, I'm not being facetious. It is the gambling aspect of day trading that appeals to you. I can understand that. The thing is that you have to see this as a hobby and form of entertainment and not as a way to actually make money....
 
The question is how do I begin to invest 4.5 million when all these years I have only been in and out of the market. Stocks look expensive, bonds look expensive, gold and oil too....hell everything looks too expensive. I have to curb this mindset of trying to catch a bottom and begin. Over what timeline would you guys invest this 4.5 million ? The stock market is just in a quandry (still 30% cheap from oct 2007 but 60% more expensive from March 2009 sheeshhhhh.....)


Don't punish yourself for missing the bottom. Someday the market will recover to 07 levels and 12/09 levels will seem cheap.

Having said that, if I were working 4.5MM into my asset allocation model, I'd probably dollar-cost-average it in over 24-36 months, but I'd also be prepared to accelerate that on dips. I'd probably keep my bond allocation in TIPS or short term for now. You probably don't have much capacity in an IRA or other tax deferred account, if I had to guess, which doesn't help.

First thing you need to think about is what your asset allocation model should be.

Have you read any of William Bernsteins books? I recommend the Intelligent Asset Allocator as a start.
 
I would also add that you should put a strict limit on how much capital you're willing to risk on day trading. Say its 250k or whatever. If you burn through that, I'd really reconsider day trading as a profession.
 
Destiny, this is certainly an interesting discussion. Your question at this point seems to be what do at this point, considering you love trading, and would like to do it for the rest of your life, while at the same time, you want your money to be secure and meet your needs.

First, some thing to consider (a lot of this will be reiterations of what others have said, some of it new)

* When you have children, your expenses will increase, a lot. Your wife may need some sort of occupation now, but once she has children, taking care of the children may be enough to keep her occupied (it happens very often where one spouse has a very high income).

* This brings up health care. It is extremely likely that your wife will not be providing health care for you until you reach Medicare age (30 years). There are various reasons why this may occur, but children will most likely be the first event that will likely trigger a loss of health care. She may go back to work sometime afterward, but I think this will only be for a portion, quite possibly a small portion of the next 30 years. Your children will also need to be insured. You seem to be aware of the health care costs, and that your future expenses will likely be 15-20k higher (on average and with inflation adjustments) over the next 30 years.

* You appear to have a very good job. Can you find similar paying work if you decided to lateral to a different firm? If you stopped working, for say, 5 years, how difficult would it be for you, objectively, to find a similar paying job? (I can tell you that the chances in this case are low, and it will grow lower as the experience gap increases). This means that once you pull the plug, the amount you need for your expected expenses (which seem to really be 70k), needs to be in something that will provide you sufficient income to meet your 70k (with inflation adjustments) for both your and your spouses life.

* In your case, you are in the rare position where the skills that helped and currently help you earn a high income, have warped your current wealth management abilities (there are a lot of big red flags in what you have said). What you currently have known and done are in direct conflict with what you will need to learn to manage your wealth. While you have learned good spending habits, that has not changed how you manage your wealth, as they are two different things. You have said (and it appears this is true from some of your actions) that you are not able to recognize risk, which is a very big problem coupled with your desire to day trade, which inherently involves calculating risk on a minute-to-minute basis.

My Suggestion:

You are in a position to retire (this is obvious, you were in the 100% safe range a long time ago, based on your expenses).

But, you are also not ready to retire.

If you wish to retire right now (which you could), I would strongly suggest you get an irrevocable SPIA that covers 70K of income+30k more for your children expenses (for a total of 100k), that adjusts for inflation, and has survivorship benefits. Eventually, and possibly quite quickly, you would get into a situation where you would burn through all of your capital. With the SPIA, your income would be assured, but then you could go get a lower (probably it would be end up being much lower paying) job in the financial industry again in case you burn through all of your other money (which will be a lot more than 500k).

If you don't wish to retire right now, keep researching wealth management, once you get to the point where you think you can at least set up a balanced portfolio and not market time with it, you will be pretty close to being ready to retire. The big problem with you managing your own money is, inflation will eat it all, eventually, if you are doing it really wrong (such as by market timing when you cannot assess risk extremely well, much better than a normal investor). You want to setup a portfolio that will get what the market returns, no more, no less. Do not seek alpha with money you need to live on. You need to get to the where you can set the portfolio up, and only make simple re-balancing adjustments, regardless of how you feel the market is doing. Until you can honestly say to yourself that you can do this, you are not cured of your previous wealth management tendencies.

While you could hire someone to do it for you, this is very risky, for a number of reasons hit on in previous threads. The largest reason is, the majority of advisors do a pretty poor job, and they will charge you a lot to do a poor job. Another reason is, you still need to know what is going on with your portfolio, because otherwise, you will yank it from the advisor even when they are managing it well, or let the advisor do as he wishes when you really need to be putting on the breaks. Yet another reason is, advisors who invest money on someone elses behalf have an interest directly adverse to their clients, they want as big a piece of their clients assets and returns that they can get, usually. As such, they wil inherently, and often without even concious knowledge, do things with your portfolio which benefit them, and not you (this is called conflict of interest). Finally, even if you find a good advisor, he will not live forever, at some point, he is going to hand your portfolio back to you, or more likely, sell/hand over his control over your portfolio to a new (and younger) manager, who, more likely than not, is not like the good advisor you pain stakingly found earlier.

You also have the option to setup a trust, and make it irrevocable, with a life interest to yourself and your wife, and a remainder to your children. I will not get into that though, as this isn't legal advice.
 
Hi Friends -

I am the OP here and thought it best to give an update. Its been 4 years since my initial message. I got my pretty good responses from several of you which I very much appreciated.

I did not RETIRE and kept at my day job and still do. I still day trade forex in the evenings and stocks/futures during the day (limited during the day for obvious reasons). I have not blown any accounts and have made some steady supplemental income over the last four years (nothing compared to the S&P 500 but steady). It is hard but it is a passion and i am constantly studying and researching risk/trade/money management and learning discipline.

Work wise I have done fine. My networth has grown from 4.5 mm + fully paid 1.25 mm manhattan condo in Dec 2009 to to 8.0 mm + condo which I think is roughly valued at 1.35 mm or so today.

The 3.5 mm increase in networth has come from:

2.9 mm (day job less expenses)
0.6 mm (Investments).

I was hardly invested in 2009 and have been slowly dipping into the VTIs and VXUSs and SPYs. Today I have approx. 1.45 mm of the 8.0 mm (18%) invested in stocks - all passively indexed. 550k of the 1.45 mm is in 401k & IRAs. Rest in CDs & short term bonds and money markets. Stocks have been going one way lately and I know I have missed lot of upside being in so much cash.

My expenses have risen from 50k to 55K per year. Nothing spectacular there and wife still works - she has accumulated a good sized net worth which I dont include in my numbers above (it is hers and she can do what she wants and is not a part of my analysis).

I dont know how much money is enough and I do not even know how long should somebody work for. I am turning 39 this year - no kids yet. After tiring myself thinking about retiring and not working I have just let it go. It is too scary to pull the plug on a day job. Even though the math tells me I should be ok - not having a pay check seems scary. But at some point I have to decide enough is enough and move on. I dont particularly enjoy my day job and feel I am just trading my life for money. Not that I have any plans to do anything after retiring. It is a quandry. The search for goal of life.

I follow many of you here and and will I know several of you much better than you could imagine. SO thought I should write an update - not that anybody was waiting for one LOL.

I just have to see how life goes and not push retirement and concentrate now on getting more money into the stock market. But I need an opening. Got one early this year and got 125K in the market but it turned abruptly.

What % if the 8 mm would you guys think should be in the stock market. AFter a certain point dont traditional 40/60 and 50/50 numbers become irrelevant. I mean why risk 60% into stocks when that much growth in absolute terms is not even needed. My SWR is probably 0.68% or something like that - make it 0.93% with health care etc if I quit. How much stocks do i really need at these levels in the S&P 500?

Thanks
 

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