calmloki
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Thought that was trycurious.Bicurious inflation is an increase in the cost of sex toys.
Thought that was trycurious.Bicurious inflation is an increase in the cost of sex toys.
Biflation describes the current malaise. Everything that you need to buy is going up. Everything you own is going down. yet the net CPI rate is modest.
An increase in the cost of toys combined with a decrease in the performance of the assets?Bicurious inflation is an increase in the cost of sex toys.
Bicurious inflation is an increase in the cost of sex toys.
Thought that was trycurious.
An increase in the cost of toys combined with a decrease in the performance of the assets?
My take on this is no one really has a clue what lies ahead for our economy but a lot of people are convinced it will be extreme.
My admittedly biased observations:
My take on this is no one really has a clue what lies ahead for our economy but a lot of people are convinced it will be extreme.
And lest anyone doubt that inflation is coming back, notice that after a couple of down years, it's most definitely rearing its ugly head again:
And it is sure to be right, just like it was in the early 80s when it forecasted inflation of 14-16%. Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!Meanwhile the bond market is currently forecasting inflation of . . .
5-YR 1.72%
10-YR 2.06%
30-YR 2.46%
Gone4Good said:Meanwhile the bond market is currently forecasting inflation of . . .
5-YR 1.72%
10-YR 2.06%
30-YR 2.46%
And it is sure to be right, just like it was in the early 80s when it forecasted inflation of 14-16%. Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!
Ha
I'm afraid the bond market isn't forecasting anything and unsophisticated investors reaching out on the far end are going to get whacked.
Gone4Good said:That's what they keep saying. Unfortunately it keeps not coming to pass.
why would anyone buy a 10 year bond and it's risk when you can get a 5 year CD at that rate or slightly higher?
Simons admits that inflation will not be a problem as long as the United States remains mired in a recession. "When the real problem starts is once the economy starts to revive. That's when the banking system ... will start to expand the money supply. History shows, it's very, very hard for the central bank to raise interest rates rapidly enough to offset the increase in credit. That's when we are going to get the inflation," he says.
Some say the Fed's bold moves could bring the country out of recession, without sparking a terrible bout of inflation, if it manages to take away the proverbial punch bowl at the perfect time.
CCdaCE said:I guess they're printing one asset, to buy another. So, it's not changing the supply?
-CC
Didn't the fed just quit buying bonds with freshly printed money? How does that NOT cause inflation?
I see some similar pattens as it were back in late 70s and early 80s. Jimmy got the bad wraps for economy downturn while Ronald benefited from high inflation. Only reason we don't have gas rationing is due to technologies that we didn't have back them. I see high inflation coming but not until after 2012 election. What Fed said is true about not raising interest rate until early 2013. No matter who becomes the President, they be raising interest rate like back in the day when I would get 11% on 5 year CD and get a free toaster and coffee maker for deposit over $10K.And it is sure to be right, just like it was in the early 80s when it forecasted inflation of 14-16%. Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!
Ha
I wonder what a member of a rationale group does-- practice being rational or just practice rationalizing? Or is it some logic version of a chorale group?
I predict stagflation: 0% change in prices. Plus or minus 3%...
+1 on stagflation - and worse than the Carter years....
And it is sure to be right, just like it was in the early 80s when it forecasted inflation of 14-16%. Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!
Ha
Ha's comments work both ways.
Everyone who's convinced that we're in for soaring inflation can very easily short some 30-yr Treasuries and use the proceeds to buy TIPS.
Should be a slam-dunk money maker when inflation hits double digits. "Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!" someone once said.
Somehow I suspect that Mr. Market can remain 'irrational' longer than I can remain solvent...
Ha's comments work both ways.
Everyone who's convinced that we're in for soaring inflation can very easily short some 30-yr Treasuries and use the proceeds to buy TIPS.
Should be a slam-dunk money maker when inflation hits double digits. "Be sure to go all in! It's a once in a generation opportunity!" someone once said.