2021 Investment Performance Thread

Being apparently so woefully behind the majority here, .... 62 y/o, and AUM of abt. 2.2m at this point, no debt, own home, low COLA. Have a longtime hourly FA .... much of his advice seems oriented to keeping the PF in line with my risk tolerance.... 100% success under all moderate AA Firecalc simulations I've run for a 30 year horizon...
Obviously my AA and yours is drastically different but then I normally don't mind the drops as I buy the ups and downs. BUT if your FA is tuned into your risk tolerance and your Monte Carlo is good, I'm not sure I'd change

If inclined to play with it, try a split between total stock market ETF / bond. In my legacy brokerage (GKs inheritance) I do SCHB / PWZ (California tax free to keep taxes low, find one for your state). Try running it on a relatively small amount compared to your NW (100K) for 3 - 6 months and then reevaluate
 
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Obviously my AA and yours is drastically different but then I normally don't mind the drops as I buy the ups and downs. BUT if your FA is tuned into your risk tolerance and your Monte Carlo is good, I'm not sure I'd change

If inclined to play with it, try a split between total stock market ETF / bond. In my legacy brokerage (GKs inheritance) I do SCHB / PWZ (California tax free to keep taxes low, find one for your state). Try running it on a relatively small amount compared to your NW (100K) for 3 - 6 months and then reevaluate

He's tuned into my risk tolerance but I can go closer to 50/50 AA no problem. Might decouple with FA if he doesn't want to. But want to ask first why I lagged the Mod-Conserv. PF benchmark average by 5-6% for 2020 with a 40/60 AA.
 
Being apparently so woefully behind the majority here, I have to ask a loaded question... Been in a 40/60 moderate-conservative AA with a YTD of abt 1.3% and 2020 performance of only +7% give or take. Does this sound radically out of line with others with a similar AA? 62 y/o, and AUM of abt. 2.2m at this point, no debt, own home, low COLA. Have a longtime hourly FA who i meet with off and on a few times a year. He is decidedly a "value approach" guy - and much of his advice seems oriented to keeping the PF in line with my risk tolerance.

I'd be glad to get some second opinions here on actual positions if there's a relatively simple way of posting that data - and in whatever appropriate category that might to be placed. Dividend income averages 50-55k, and often he suggests that simply looking at those total return figures in comparison to 'benchmarks' isn't necessarily fully reflective of my actual ROI and appreciation of value.

Sometimes I just feel like chucking it all into something like VWELX or that even an annuity would outperform how 'we've' done in recent years...but he has kept me sane.. There's a certain degree of capital preservation/preservation sentiment that's crept into the whole equation being on the verge of semi-retirement with no pension (sole proprietor/self employed) and Spending going forward probably in the 40-50k/year ballpark incl. prop. taxes...and I'm due for maybe 18k/year in S.S. if I choose to take it at, say, 66. All this said I do show 100% success under all moderate AA Firecalc simulations I've run for a 30 year horizon. Long-winded contribution but seeing threads like this always kicks me into reflective mode about how much better things might be and whether it's time for a change in investment 'philosophy.

I am in 100% equities having avg ~27% past 7 years which is when I started really managing myself with confidence.

Wish I could have put more into the market in that time but we are blessed with 3 kids in a nice school district with property taxes that reflect that level of quality we are accustom. When I retire at 50 I hope to have 2-2.5MM AUM, ~750k of Real estate equity with some rental income, enough in broker to push us to 55 where we will almost 100% certainty tap Roth IRA a bit when the time is right. Decent SS of 30k at 62 early, or $70k if we both wait until we are 70. I have a small pension coming at 65 which will help with some fun money.

EVEN IF a FA told me to drop back from 100% equities I would not. I will have AAPL stock Dividends that I likely unload first, along with some other stuff like company ESOP shares etc. That with the rental income should relieve some pressure to withdraw much more.

Hopefully this plan stays intact, time will tell but I hope to be where you are just with a different AA so I would say you are solid man.
 
I am in 100% equities having avg ~27% past 7 years which is when I started really managing myself with confidence.

Wish I could have put more into the market in that time but we are blessed with 3 kids in a nice school district with property taxes that reflect that level of quality we are accustom. When I retire at 50 I hope to have 2-2.5MM AUM, ~750k of Real estate equity with some rental income, enough in broker to push us to 55 where we will almost 100% certainty tap Roth IRA a bit when the time is right. Decent SS of 30k at 62 early, or $70k if we both wait until we are 70. I have a small pension coming at 65 which will help with some fun money.

EVEN IF a FA told me to drop back from 100% equities I would not. I will have AAPL stock Dividends that I likely unload first, along with some other stuff like company ESOP shares etc. That with the rental income should relieve some pressure to withdraw much more.

Hopefully this plan stays intact, time will tell but I hope to be where you are just with a different AA so I would say you are solid man.

Thanks Buddy! Wish I had your financial awareness and perceptiveness at the stage that you are now, so likewise, I think You are more than solid as well and wish you all the best. It's great that you have the pension and joint SS too. I appreciate the factoring in of the real estate. My mom passed away in December. I'm pondering a 'deal' to possibly move 'back' into the much larger-than-mine family house where I grew up because it's in a beautiful relatively upscale community with the only big drawback being 10k/year taxes (vs practically nothing where I am now: ) With inheritance from a Trust fund that would pay it off at about half its fair-market value...it's tempting. Would increase my COLA a bit yeah, but what are we saving our $$ for in the end. It's in an idyllic village that I love. You're doing great dude
 
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He's tuned into my risk tolerance but I can go closer to 50/50 AA no problem. Might decouple with FA if he doesn't want to. But want to ask first why I lagged the Mod-Conserv. PF benchmark average by 5-6% for 2020 with a 40/60 AA.
check your expense ratio, then if decoupling with FA, try Schwab or Fido and play 50% broad stock market index /50% income (not sure .... I'm 13% bond ETF) with their MF or ETFs. Expense ratios:
SCHB = 0.03%
SPY = 0.095%
FSKAX = 0.02%
Now these aren't identical but it'll give you a starting point to see if you're paying too much (yes I hold them)
 
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check your expense ratio. If decoupling with FA, try Schwab or Fido and play 50 broad stock market index /50 income (not sure .... I'm 13% bond ETF) with their MF or ETFs .

I get it. Yeah I have to revisit acceptance of the whole bogleheads/indexing vs managed funds thing to go there, basically... but i'm kinda getting there...even if a decade or two, too late. Have to say I've never been easily able to let go of the notion of trying to play good managed funds - in well diversified/balanced ports.. but am thinking maybe going with something with Schwab (since I'm already a pretty long term client having my accounts all there) would simplify things - and I like the operation. As far as the online platform - TOTALLY superior to Vanguard. What the hell is up with them being so antiquated on the customer service interface? Have never understood that with VG.
 
After two months I'm +2.96% YTD. A few days earlier I was up 5.5% YTD.
 
Here's my progress so far this year:

Jan 2021: -0.69% YTD
Feb 2021: +2.06% YTD

I had been up around 5.7% around the middle of February
 
+2.53 on my retirement accounts.
-2.31 on my play money. TSLA is about 1/3 of my play account right now and we had a bad week.
+3.43 on my ROTH (about 20% of my overall stash)
 
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Up 1.7%. Dragged down a bit by a separately managed muni bond account, especially some of the ones issued by schools (including a state Dorm Authority). Not surprising. I'm guessing school systems are bleeding money right now.
 
Jan 21 + ?? I didn't check whoops
Feb 21 +1.58% after a pull-back ;)
 
Up 7.37% YTD, using Moneychimp formula to compensate for withdrawals.

Two days earlier, I was up 11.4% YTD.

I have no IPO, revolutionary stocks, ARK funds, meme stocks, penny stocks, pink sheet stocks etc... Stocks in the following sectors did well for me recently: energy (oil), industrial metal and fertilizer mining, semiconductor equipment, regional banking. Stocks of mine that did not do well recently: pharma, retail, consumer staples, utilities, emerging markets.

Stock AA: 70%. The rest mostly in cash equivalents, with very little bonds.
 
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A bad bet on a couple of speculative stocks (should have cashed out mid month) hurt a bit but still up nearly a point ytd. Ahh well, I still think it was better odds than playing the lottery.
 
Money Chimp is telling me YTD 2.27 % on 85/15 AA. Like many others the last few days of Feb knocked the gains down some.
 
+2.0% YTD, all-in. I try to only look at month-end, but I did peek on Valentine's day and it was +4.9%. Easy come, easy go.
 
Total on my self managed -.19 YTD on a 50/50 allocation. My aggressively self managrd Roth returned +12.8% YTD and +47.79 for the prior 12 months, 100% equities.
 
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