Foot powered^ ICE, electric, fuel cell, or nuclear powered?
The demise of ICE cars has been predicted for decades and the best electrics can do even with massive subsidies is a tiny percentage. End the subsidies and their market share will plummet.
It doesn't matter what California decrees or what Volkswagen announces...the vast majority of people will continue to buy ICE until they determine that it's advantageous to buy an alternative.
No, I don't think I can agree. While it may appear obvious, the future has a sneaky way of turning out differently than we foresee. Who knows what new technologies will be available in a few years?
This reminds me of the prognostications of the coming "paperless society" that were popular in the late 1970's. Pundits were forecasting the demise of printed material before the end of the century, saving the lives of millions of trees. Forty years have passed and while we may have reached the "less paper" society, we are nowhere near paperless.
I suspect a similar future for ICE powered cars - they will decline but it will take far longer than a decade or two for them to disappear entirely.
I wasn't saying that the future is for sure EV's. I was saying the gradual reduction and elimination of ICE's appears obvious. Absolutely, new technology may emerge to lead the way ahead of EV's. I hope it does.
But for now, car companies and governments are preparing the transition to EV's.
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I have a Miata but there's no way I can relate to this statement!
When I drive to a destination (Florida to Canada for example) I like to get a good 1st day of driving in. That is way over the ~300 mile limits of today's Electrics. I do like the Tesla, but it still cannot cut it. I miss my BMW 328d that averaged 47mpg to Canada. I went for a gas one this time (330i) and it really is nowhere near as good. I think I can get one more diesel lease in when this one runs out, before they get really hard to get and maintain.
My experience has been that Tesla has done a good job at strategically placing superchargers at locations that are convenient for long distance travel and allow you to get something to eat or do some shopping while waiting an hour or so for a full recharge. It doesn't seem that unreasonable to take an hour break from driving every 300 miles or so. That's four hours of continuous driving. I can't go longer than that without resting and taking a bathroom break anyway. And for the minor inconvenience of having to wait the hour or so on the road for long distance trips, you get to completely avoid the weekly trips to the gas station permanently. It seems like a good trade off to me.
I'm all for technology and wouldn't mind having a cheap EV for local use someday. I would prefer to drive it myself, though (for safety reasons).
Currently, there are 275,000,000 registered vehicles in the U.S. and we are continuing to make them at a pace of 16,000,000+ per year. About 98% of these run on gasoline or diesel. They keep coming folks, and no one is shutting off the spout!
There are also MILLIONS of families who can just barely afford a cheap used car in the U.S. Many of these folks live in apartments or in areas where virtually no power heavy infrastructure exists today. Heck, in Houston,there are over 2,500 apartment complexes and more are being built today.
So based on the headwinds above, I don't see all cars being EV's anytime soon, or even 20 years out.
Nope.My experience has been that Tesla has done a good job at strategically placing superchargers at locations that are convenient for long distance travel and allow you to get something to eat or do some shopping while waiting an hour or so for a full recharge. It doesn't seem that unreasonable to take an hour break from driving every 300 miles or so. That's four hours of continuous driving. I can't go longer than that without resting and taking a bathroom break anyway. And for the minor inconvenience of having to wait the hour or so on the road for long distance trips, you get to completely avoid the weekly trips to the gas station permanently. It seems like a good trade off to me.
I'm all for technology and wouldn't mind having a cheap EV for local use someday. I would prefer to drive it myself, though (for safety reasons).
Currently, there are 275,000,000 registered vehicles in the U.S. and we are continuing to make them at a pace of 16,000,000+ per year. About 98% of these run on gasoline or diesel. They keep coming folks, and no one is shutting off the spout!
There are also MILLIONS of families who can just barely afford a cheap used car in the U.S. Many of these folks live in apartments or in areas where virtually no power heavy infrastructure exists today. Heck, in Houston,there are over 2,500 apartment complexes and more are being built today.
So based on the headwinds above, I don't see all cars being EV's anytime soon, or even 20 years out.
tl;dr
A recent CNN item pointed out that plugin EVs like the Volt haven't proved popular.
People are either buying pure EVs or non-plugin hybrids.
+1All those gov'ts will back track once everyone realizes you need to build thousands of nuke power plants to generate enough electricity for the increase in electric cars.
Yeah, I don't understand why the plugin hybrids aren't more popular. I'd much rather have a Volt than a Tesla or Prius ( although I am too cheap to buy any of them )
Well if anything is coming back, I’d wish for one of the old land yachts like a Crown Vic. In a Cadillac, I’d want one of those late 90’s Fleetwoods. Something you could ride in comfort with plenty of room.
SUVs are fine, I have one, but doesn’t anyone appreciate a trunk? A place to put something like your golf clubs out of sight.
Nope.
DW and I do a lot of long distance travel. We get quite refreshed with our 30 minute lunch sitting at the rustic rest stops. Yes, we like pinic rest stops.
Beyond that, it is fill and run. When you are traveling cross country as we have quite a few times, 1 hr every 300 adds up.
We do stop at rest stops frequently to stretch and change drivers. Those 5 minutes do incredible good.
For many, the trade off may be fine. For us, it is not.
EVs will get better with the charging solution. Until then, as an apparent minority who just doesn't drive around town, I demand my unimpeded cross country driving rights!
Well if anything is coming back, I’d wish for one of the old land yachts like a Crown Vic. In a Cadillac, I’d want one of those late 90’s Fleetwoods. Something you could ride in comfort with plenty of room.
SUVs are fine, I have one, but doesn’t anyone appreciate a trunk? A place to put something like your golf clubs out of sight.
Some people do, and that's one reason I have a pickup truck with a fiberglass cap over the bed. That's one HUGE trunk! I can put three fully assembled R/C model airplanes in there.
A while back I watched a segment of "Jay Leno's Garage" on youtube about a ~1967 Lincoln Continental and his comment about the trunk was that it was "big enough to house a family of four".
Some of us do appreciate a trunk.
Does the Silverado have engine cut off at stops? If so, how obnoxious is it?So, thanks to this thread and of course, my desire to drive a new car, I went out and traded my Impala for a crew cab Silverado. The visual that Walt provided of a truck size trunk was too much so I went for it. Now I’m looking at a BedRug liner and a tonneau cover. The BedRug resembles the fabric look of a trunk, but it’s more durable and water proof. With the cover, it should be nice.
Does the Silverado have engine cut off at stops? If so, how obnoxious is it?
A friend just bought a new Ford pickup, and as a passenger I found the engine cut off to be irritating. I can't imagine driving it.
Does the Silverado have engine cut off at stops? If so, how obnoxious is it?
A friend just bought a new Ford pickup, and as a passenger I found the engine cut off to be irritating. I can't imagine driving it.