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Old 11-03-2014, 07:31 PM   #41
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Most people do not interpret rain percentages the right way. For a forecast of 30% this afternoon...that means for a particular area, (whatever counties are listed), and for a particular time frame, (this afternoon), you will see measurable rainfall, (0.01 inch or more), over 30% of that area. That also means that 70% of the area will not see any rainfall. 70% means 70% of an area will get rain and 30% of the area will not. You don't know exactly where in the area given will get the rain and the rain could be only be a small amount such as 0.01". Using the baseline of 0.01" precipitation for an area is the quantifying factor for verification on a forecast.
I don't believe this is correct; the rain percentage is the chance that rain will occur at any given point in the forecast area. See the NOAA FAQ for more details.
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Old 11-03-2014, 07:32 PM   #42
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I don't believe this is correct; the rain percentage is the chance that rain will occur at any given point in the forecast area. See the NOAA FAQ for more details.
I got a "link not found" error.
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Old 11-03-2014, 08:43 PM   #43
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It is clear that quantum mechanical effects have been ignored in current weather predictions. Also what about the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle?

Before I go out running I always calculate this stuff as a correction factor. If you don't you are at risk.
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Old 11-03-2014, 10:43 PM   #44
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Here's a really nice weather site with lots of features:

Beautiful Weather Graphs and Maps - WeatherSpark

I plugged in Egypt, Texas and used the dashboard as an example.
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Old 11-03-2014, 11:07 PM   #45
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I got a "link not found" error.
Operator error. Try here.
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Old 11-04-2014, 06:31 AM   #46
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It is clear that quantum mechanical effects have been ignored in current weather predictions. Also what about the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle?

Before I go out running I always calculate this stuff as a correction factor. If you don't you are at risk.
The reuslts must me amalgamated with the butterfly effect.
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Old 11-04-2014, 04:38 PM   #47
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It is clear that quantum mechanical effects have been ignored in current weather predictions. Also what about the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle?

Before I go out running I always calculate this stuff as a correction factor. If you don't you are at risk.
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Originally Posted by ls99 View Post
The reuslts must me amalgamated with the butterfly effect.
Before I go out on a motorcycle ride I just look out the window.
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