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Old 01-02-2014, 08:05 PM   #21
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I'm predicting a nice run up until the end of 2014, followed by a major crash.

Coincidentally, I'll finish DCAing into the market in the last quarter of 2014.
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Old 01-03-2014, 07:43 AM   #22
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Originally Posted by marko View Post
There's still a couple of trillion $$ sitting on the sidelines that was taken out of equities in 2008-9... IMHO
My best guess is that timid folks will get back in boosting us to a mild bubble. I will probably just ride out the subsequent plummet at my current AA. No way to predict when to get out or, even more important, when to get back in.

Lsbcal - you should post your chart every January so us lazy followers can see how the line moves.
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Old 12-12-2014, 12:38 PM   #23
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Here is an updated chart of the SP500 off some major lows:




I started doing this chart over 3 years ago and was hoping to follow the 1980's market (red line) but did not really expect it. At the end of 2013 the blue line we are on was looking pretty good ... unfortunately that is in the past. Who knows what 2014 will look like.
I thought this was a very interesting chart, at the start of the year. We probably came close, to following the path of the 1980's?
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Old 12-12-2014, 12:41 PM   #24
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If it's ok with everyone, we can just bypass the (major) crash.
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Old 12-12-2014, 03:38 PM   #25
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If it's ok with everyone, we can just bypass the (major) crash.
I'm OK with that!

Looking at 1987, the bonds paid a big premium on a historical basis. Not so nowadays so stocks have much less competition.

Looking at 1937, there was still massive unemployment (15% if I recall right). Didn't take much to unbalance the economy.

I'll update this chart in early January.
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Old 12-12-2014, 05:23 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by harley View Post
I'm predicting a nice run up until the end of 2014, followed by a major crash.

Coincidentally, I'll finish DCAing into the market in the last quarter of 2014.
Wow, pretty good guess! What are you predicting for 2015?
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Old 12-12-2014, 05:49 PM   #27
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Am I the only one disappointed in the thread title? I thought it was going to be about disco music, polyester and bad hair styles...
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Old 12-12-2014, 08:49 PM   #28
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Am I the only one disappointed in the thread title? I thought it was going to be about disco music, polyester and bad hair styles...
LOL! Sorry, not quite so sexy.
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