Is America at the Point of No Return?

The solution, that Farrel et al propose would be worse than what we have now.

If you want the elites to have an equal share in mass poverty then the socialist agenda will acheive that. Then everyone will be equal.
 
I think the 800 pound gorilla in the room is technological gains due to efficiency and automation. "Creative destruction" has existed for centuries with technological advancement. This holds that when one industry is obsoleted by technology, these jobs are replaced by even better jobs in an emerging industry.

For example, 100 years ago buggy whip makers losing their buggy whip jobs could find jobs working for Henry Ford -- and probably doing at least as well, if not better, financially. When heavy manufacturing started its serious domestic decline in the 1970s and into the 1980s, these lost jobs were replaced by the emerging high tech sector -- chip designers, programmers, systems analysts, all that sort of thing.

Where are the "new" jobs coming from increased automation and efficiency? To the extent they are being created at all, they are mostly going to China or India or some such. In *this* sense, yes, the American economy is in uncharted waters. The "creative destruction" no longer creates a sufficient number of good new domestic jobs in the emerging industries. And that is a problem if almost all of the economic growth that comes from this sort of job-killing automation and technology are allowed to concentrate in the hands of the economic elites while all those displaced by it get little more than a pink slip. Early retirement? Forget about it. Those lucky enough to still have jobs will probably need to hold them for life, or as long as their employers will have them.

Another problem is that so much of today's economic output comes from goods that do not require a lot more labor to sell a lot more stuff. If you sell a piece of software, for example, it's not like a car -- to manufacture 10X cars instead of X cars or to build 10X homes instead of X homes, you probably need close to 10 times as many workers. To sell 10X pieces of software instead of X pieces, you may need a few more folks in sales and support, but you won't need anywhere NEAR 10 times as many people. These fields don't require job growth to fuel sales and revenue growth. And they are an increasing part of the economy.

It doesn't have to end badly -- but if almost all the economic benefits of efficiency and automation end in the hands of a very few, it will. And I fear what that could do to the social order.
 
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Tax the rich seems to be the big mantra these days. While I agree that the "rich" don't create tons of jobs like is often said, their CONSUMPTION does create a lot of jobs, so taxing them into oblivion will do little to help the economy......
 
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Tax the rich seems to be the big mantra these days. While I agree that the "rich" don't create tons of jobs like is often said, their CONSUMPTION does create a lot of jobs, so taxing them into oblivion will do little to help the economy......
The consumption of the rich does create jobs, true, but the consumption of the non-rich creates even more, because the non-rich spend a larger portion of their income. So, contrary to what you say, taxation that redistributes income does help the economy. The rich don't spend enough.
 
Tax the rich seems to be the big mantra these days. While I agree that the "rich" don't create tons of jobs like is often said, their CONSUMPTION does create a lot of jobs, so taxing them into oblivion will do little to help the economy......
Sure they do. But if you double the income of someone who already has everything they need and most of what they want, their spending won't go anywhere near double. Double the income of someone in the middle/working class, sure, they too may save a little more but they'll surely spend a much greater percentage of their extra income than those who already can buy pretty much all they want.
 
Sure they do. But if you double the income of someone who already has everything they need and most of what they want, their spending won't go anywhere near double. Double the income of someone in the middle/working class, sure, they too may save a little more but they'll surely spend a much greater percentage of their extra income than those who already can buy pretty much all they want.

We tried that. Some folks got those wonderful stimulus checks from the US govt. Then the pundits lamented that a lot of those nice folks paid down CC debt and didn't buy "stuff" so it didn't really work.

The middle class can't carry our economy back from the brink. The US has lived off of consumption from the middle class for 2-3 generations. Throw in tight credit for everyone and they can't even overmax their credit cards anymore............;)
 
Tax the rich seems to be the big mantra these days. While I agree that the "rich" don't create tons of jobs like is often said, their CONSUMPTION does create a lot of jobs, so taxing them into oblivion will do little to help the economy......
[RANT ON]How does restoring the roaring 90s tax levels for the rich and relatively wealthy (I include myself in that category) translate into "oblivion?" A little further back in the thread someone else commented on their dad thriving in those wonderful post war 50s when the US was booming. Take a look at the marginal rates back then. Far from getting trashed, it seems to me that the rich have been elevated to a protected minority over the last three decades. Cut their taxes to the bone. Deregulate them so they can stick it to us with a sneer. Bail them out when they screw up.

The disgraced CEO from BP gets to crawl away with a $1M/year pension. Goldman Sacks partners are swimming in bonuses. That's oblivion?[/RANT OFF] Have a nice day now :D
 
We tried that. Some folks got those wonderful stimulus checks from the US govt. Then the pundits lamented that a lot of those nice folks paid down CC debt and didn't buy "stuff" so it didn't really work.

The middle class can't carry our economy back from the brink. The US has lived off of consumption from the middle class for 2-3 generations. Throw in tight credit for everyone and they can't even overmax their credit cards anymore............;)

I don't know which pundits you listen to. I'd guess that those who thought the stimulus checks (and the tax cuts) were a good idea before they were sent out didn't change their minds. Those who thought they were a bad idea before the fact didn't change their minds either.

In any country that I'd want to live in, most of the consumption would come from middle class workers/consumers. The problem with the slow economy today is the vicious circle of not enough jobs for the middle class => not enough spending by the middle class => not enough employers wanting to hire workers => not enough jobs for the middle class => not enough spending by the middle class => ....
 
Not that there isn't plenty of stuff "wrong" with the USA, but most of these doom-gloomers, from whatever political stripe, are trying to sell you something, usually a candidate and/or an ideology, likely closer to the tails than the middle of the bell curve...
 
I'm a little confused on the concept of "misuse of capitalism". Seems to me that the Super Rich are using the heck out of it. Imagine how they'd do if they turned out to be just misusing it now! Why, with a little motivation and some hard work...

I think having to give back the money is the real misuse of capitalism. I still haven't made up my mind whether it's better to be a sterling philanthropist giving people a hand up, or a filthy money-grubbing capitalist giving people a job.

I'm also surprised this thread is still open.

A good example of "misuse of capitalism" is the way in which Wall Street Bankers sold CDOs (collateralized debt obligations) to unsuspecting institutions around the world. CDOs were the primary vehicle in which Wall Street packaged their subprime loans into what we now refer to as "toxic assets." Financial trickery by the Super Rich was rampant during this ugly portion of American history.

During the housing boom, the only requirement for obtaining a loan to buy a house was for the borrowers to prove that they could fog up a mirror. A home buyer's ability to make payments on a mortgage was not even a consideration.

The housing collapse, stock market crash and subsequent Great Recession are indeed prime examples of the Super Rich misusing Capitalism.
 
The housing collapse, stock market crash and subsequent Great Recession are indeed prime examples of the Super Rich misusing Capitalism.
We know what happened. Explain how it was a "misuse" of capitalism? If anything, folks on the left usually maintain that it was "capitalism run amok" or "too much free market." Every one of these examples you cite had willing buyers and sellers. With the housing bubble, one could make a case that the excesses resulted in large part because government significantly reduced the need for at least one party in these transactions to exercise due diligence because their risks were being underwritten by taxpayers. Regarding the financial bailout, Washington has now shown the Big Boys that their bad deals will be made good by taxpayers. We can complain about all this, but it's not correct to blame capitalism when the problem clearly lies in the excesses born of "improvements" to capitalism.
 
Yeah, there's lots of blame to go around for the housing collapse, stock market crash and subsequent Great Recession.

You can thank Greenspan for his cheap money policies that in the long run really hurt us. You can thank Bill Clinton/Barney Frank/Chris Dodd for their extortion on banks to make mortgages to people without the wherewithal to really pay it back. Then there is the balance of trade issue(s) and what to do with all those surplus dollars finding a home in lesser and lesser qualified loans. Add in ratings agency misbehavior and virtual lack of government regulation over many decades... And Houston, we have a problem. And all from well meaning people's agendas causing unforeseen consequences.
 
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The consumption of the rich does create jobs, true, but the consumption of the non-rich creates even more, because the non-rich spend a larger portion of their income. So, contrary to what you say, taxation that redistributes income does help the economy. The rich don't spend enough.

Tax the rich and give it to the non-rich and the previously non-rich will spend a smaller portion of their income then when they were the non-rich.
 
Add in ratings agency misbehavior and virtual lack of government regulation over many decades...

The mutual influence and dependency between the supposedly "independent" entities of government and bond rating agencies deserves some thorough airing out. Here's an ABC News story from today that brings this home. In part:
Two weeks ago, Treasury administration officials - the ones in charge of selling US debt -- were told that the ratings agency may well downgrade its long term outlook on the United States debt. Sources tell ABC News that Obama administration officials asked S&P to hold off until President Obama was able to offer a serious proposal to reduce the debt.
I want these discussions out in the open. No one in the government should be putting behind-the-scenes pressure on S&P to delay or modify their reports. It's different if the government requests that a news outlet avoid publishing sensitive information to protect lives, sources, or intelligence methods. This is an attempt to change the behavior of a rating agency simply for political purposes. I'll bet we get no investigation.
 
Tax the rich and give it to the non-rich and the previously non-rich will spend a smaller portion of their income then when they were the non-rich.
That doesn't follow. Even if it did, it would not show that income redistribution does not create more consumption.
 
We know what happened. Explain how it was a "misuse" of capitalism? If anything, folks on the left usually maintain that it was "capitalism run amok" or "too much free market." Every one of these examples you cite had willing buyers and sellers. With the housing bubble, one could make a case that the excesses resulted in large part because government significantly reduced the need for at least one party in these transactions to exercise due diligence because their risks were being underwritten by taxpayers. Regarding the financial bailout, Washington has now shown the Big Boys that their bad deals will be made good by taxpayers. We can complain about all this, but it's not correct to blame capitalism when the problem clearly lies in the excesses born of "improvements" to capitalism.

Wall Street banks defrauded unsuspecting investors when they sold subprime loans that had been packaged as CDOs. These loans were not based upon the borrowers ability to repay the loans. In my way of thinking, fraud is a classic example of misuse of capitalism. Somewhere, there needs to be at least some semblance of honesty and ethics.

Now that the banks are foreclosing on these people, they need to prove ownership of these properties in a court of law. Much of this paperwork was lost when the banks bundled these loans into securities. So what do the banks do? They pay people by the hour to forge signatures. This is another example of "misuse of capitalism." Again, capitalism does not work, when there is rampant and ongoing financial trickery. Freedom of enterprise does not mean one is free to commit fraud.

CBS 60 Minutes aired a segment recently entitled, "Mortgage Mess, Who Really Owns your Mortgage?" I think this is part of the point that Paul Farrell is trying to make about Wall Street being obsessed with greed at the expense of Main Street. Why else would banks pay someone to forge thousands of signatures on trust deeds that many Americans consider to be sacred?

Mortgage mess: Who really owns your mortgage? - 60 Minutes Overtime - CBS News
 
That doesn't follow. Even if it did, it would not show that income redistribution does not create more consumption.

If you were to do your re-distribution how much money would you be taking from the rich and how much would be going to each non-rich?
 
GregLee said:
The consumption of the rich does create jobs, true, but the consumption of the non-rich creates even more, because the non-rich spend a larger portion of their income. So, contrary to what you say, taxation that redistributes income does help the economy. The rich don't spend enough.

+1
 
If you were to do your re-distribution how much money would you be taking from the rich and how much would be going to each non-rich?
"My" redistribution? I'm not proposing redistribution. I pointed out that an argument made above that unequal distribution had the good effect of increasing consumption and therefore jobs was incorrect, and actually, a more equal distribution would increase consumption. I am also not agreeing with, or opposing, the previous poster's assumption that increasing consumption would increase jobs. You can't necessarily infer my views from the arguments I criticize. On occasion, I may even oppose an argument for a position I favor (on other grounds).
 
[RANT ON]How does restoring the roaring 90s tax levels for the rich and relatively wealthy (I include myself in that category) translate into "oblivion?" A little further back in the thread someone else commented on their dad thriving in those wonderful post war 50s when the US was booming. Take a look at the marginal rates back then. Far from getting trashed, it seems to me that the rich have been elevated to a protected minority over the last three decades. Cut their taxes to the bone. Deregulate them so they can stick it to us with a sneer. Bail them out when they screw up.

The disgraced CEO from BP gets to crawl away with a $1M/year pension. Goldman Sacks partners are swimming in bonuses. That's oblivion?[/RANT OFF] Have a nice day now :D

This isn't the 50's...........;) Let's tax the rich heavily, and give everyone a defined benefit plan..........wait, that WAS the 50's...........NM...........:LOL:
 
We know what happened. Explain how it was a "misuse" of capitalism? If anything, folks on the left usually maintain that it was "capitalism run amok" or "too much free market." Every one of these examples you cite had willing buyers and sellers.
Yes, but these transactions don't occur in a vacuum. If a "buyer" of these toxic assets could afford it and did so with full disclosures and understanding of what they were purchasing, AND if the failure of those toxic assets would not cumulatively wreck the economy or put taxpayers on the hook, I would agree completely that these are the consequences of "free market" transactions (at least if there was no fraud on the seller's part). People who choose to gamble must understand and accept that they may lose. The problem here is that when they gamble and lose, almost all of us are forced to lose with them even if we didn't gamble ourselves.

Like "too big to fail" financials, though, these "bad trades" harm all of us when they turn toxic, not just those who were willing parties in the transaction. That's the real problem here, IMO -- we can't "quarantine" the negative impact of reckless borrowing, lending or speculating in a way that insulates the rest of us who had nothing to do with these transactions.
 
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That's the real problem here, IMO -- we can't "quarantine" the negative impact of reckless borrowing, lending or speculating in a way that insulates the rest of us who had nothing to do with these transactions.
I think it's fair to say that we didn't "'quarantine' the negative impact of reckless borrowing, lending or speculating", in fact the government backing of Fannie and Freddie and the government decision to bail out the profligate risk-takers (AIG, etc) did exactly the opposite. That's a lot different from saying we couldn't do a lot to insulate society as a whole from these risks and to reduce the incentives for taking the risks in the first place. Step one: Stop subsidizing the risk takers with taxpayer money. Step two: Enforce the laws and lock up white-collar criminals who break them. Step 3: Too big to fail: Either limit the size of companies or institute meaningful (e.g. intrusive) government oversight of TBTF players and force payment into a fund big enough to clean up the messes.
 
Fannie and Freddie actually had tighter standards than the crap being written by mortgage brokers, clamored for by Wall Street, then packaged as AAA when it was really junk, which was pencil-whipped by Moody's and S&P, so the pig would have lipstick, which then was sold to people who didn't understand that AAA really wasn't...

Of course, so much money was being made that even Fannie and Freddie joined the subprime party. And, so much money was being made that clearer heads never prevailed...

Alan Greenspan himself remarked how surprised he was that the market didn't self-regulate. :rolleyes:

As for the "bail-outs", the cascading bankruptcies that would have taken place without them would have been cold comfort.

Since everyone had a hand in it, no one deserves to feel much righteous indignation, either over the Great Recession, or the financial shape we're in as a country. Since neither side wants to reach an agreement at the expense of losing power, or, gasp, arrgh, compromise, we have the current situation.
 
Fannie and Freddie actually had tighter standards than the crap being written by mortgage brokers, clamored for by Wall Street, then packaged as AAA when it was really junk, which was pencil-whipped by Moody's and S&P, so the pig would have lipstick, which then was sold to people who didn't understand that AAA really wasn't...

Of course, so much money was being made that even Fannie and Freddie joined the subprime party. And, so much money was being made that clearer heads never prevailed...

Alan Greenspan himself remarked how surprised he was that the market didn't self-regulate. :rolleyes:

As for the "bail-outs", the cascading bankruptcies that would have taken place without them would have been cold comfort.

Since everyone had a hand in it, no one deserves to feel much righteous indignation, either over the Great Recession, or the financial shape we're in as a country. Since neither side wants to reach an agreement at the expense of losing power, or, gasp, arrgh, compromise, we have the current situation.

GM and CHrysler should have been allowed to go into bankruptcy. I guess the bailouts of AIG and Freddie and Fannie were necessary. AIG and Freddie and Fannie are permanent taxpayer black holes, might as well include them in the budget as a line item............:mad::mad::mad:
 
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