What was your COVID news for the day?

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Well it is an essential business even w/o fans
 
Louisiana's daily number of new COVID-19 cases is decreasing. Thank goodness! We are all hoping that this decrease continues.

Here's a graph of the time series from March 9th, when our first case was confirmed until now, 42 days later. Our peak was on April 2nd.

New Orleans will still be on lockdown for a few more days, until at least May 1st.
 

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KCGeezer said:
A friend sent me this link. The site appears to be factual but I can’t fully vouch for it. [MOD NOTE - Shows COVID-19 reproduction numbers for each state over time]

https://rt.live/?fbclid=IwAR0hQymjJc9DFqZIK7d0VQUJmKvQ090mHIgyuI3gbIu9O42CzT5l4KE_Li8
Click to expand...

Additional mod note: Just to be clear, RT.live has no relation to RT.com which is published by the Russian government. RT.live was started by Instagram founders to track the spread of the novel coronavirus:

https://techcrunch.com/2020/04/18/instagram-founders-rt-live/
 
Encouraging news about antibody testing and results. Saw a few news reports, had the family and patients interviewed, so it's legit. Desperately ill and elderly patients recovering.
 
Peter Attia looks at the models for CV19.

Emphasis added by yours truly.

https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-whats-wrong-with-the-models/
Unfortunately, most of the models used to make COVID-19 projections were not built to incorporate uncertain data, nor were they capable of spitting out answers with varying degrees of uncertainty. And while I suspect the people building said models realized this shortcoming, the majority of the press is not really mathematically or scientifically literate enough to point this out in their reporting. The result was a false sense of certainty, based on the models. I should emphasize that the models were off target not because the people who made them are ignorant or incompetent, but because we had little to no viable data to put into the models to begin with. We didn’t have several months to painstakingly count the squirrels. We didn’t even have a method for counting them. The best we could do was make guesses about squirrels, which we had never seen before, based on our understanding of bunnies and mice.
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Testing broadly, especially asymptomatic people, to better estimate the true fatality rate is an essential part of any strategy to move forward. Doing so, especially if we can add more elaborate tools for contact tracing, can give us real data on the most important properties of the virus: how rapidly it spreads and how harmful it is to all people, not just the ones we already know about. And that data, in turn, will help us build better and more accurate models.
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The mistake was not taking the timeout. The mistake was not using our timeout to better understand our opponent. We failed to scale up testing and gather the essential information outlined here that would have helped us create better, more nuanced and hopefully more accurate models, rather than having to essentially guess at our data inputs (and hence at the outcomes). Now, six weeks later, we are still in the dark because we didn’t do the broad testing that we should have done back then. We still don’t know fully how many people contract this virus and come out relatively unscathed.
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W2, so glad to hear that the numbers are decreasing. My sister is in a Chicago suburb and said things are bad and getting worse.
 
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Ohio news of the day:

Schools will not reopen for the remainder of this school year. The governor may not reopen schools in the fall either. His rationale is that students are carriers, even though the risk of them getting seriously sick from the coronavirus is low. Concerns about students who have no access to the Internet for long-term remote learning, special needs students, etc., were acknowledged with no solutions proposed. He said it's up to the schools to figure out how they could reopen, maintain social distancing, force students to wear masks, whatever...and if they can't figure it out, they don't reopen.

Day cares will remain closed, with the exception of those that got a special pandemic day care license so that health care workers and first responders would have someplace to put their kids so they could still go to work. When asked by a reporter what this means when businesses are allowed to reopen and the employees can't return to work because they have no child care...crickets. No, not quite. But that's about the extent of the usefulness of the words spoken. When a reporter asked if parents could let the grandparents take care of the grandchildren so they could go back to work, or even just for a few hours if they need to get something done...Nope.

Cases are up mainly because of a spike in prisons. Over 73% at one state prison tested positive, including some staff. I'm sure that if they ever started widespread testing in nursing homes, we'd see much the same. Why the prisons are considered more important, I don't know. Lawbreakers appear to rate higher than the elderly. Unless it's an elderly lawbreaker. The governor is considering releasing more prisoners.

Protests outside the statehouse continued.

More questions than answers. Mainly, I'm getting the impression that a hole has been dug that the governor doesn't know how to climb out of. Just about every question is now non-answered with a passing the buck onto the other parties to figure it out. We're still supposed to start reopening some businesses, gradually over time, starting May 1st. He's going to give more details on that this week.

When asked again, by the same reporter who keeps asking, if he's going to mandate that everyone wear masks, the governor keeps waffling even on that simple question. He keeps repeating that it's a strong suggestion, but that's as far as he goes with it. What's interesting is that he seems willing to reopen dining rooms in restaurants at some point in the process. I'm assuming that dining room patrons will be allowed to remove their masks to eat. Based on what I'm hearing though, maybe I shouldn't assume anything.
 
gwraigty said:
Cases are up mainly because of a spike in prisons. Over 73% at one state prison tested positive, including some staff. I'm sure that if they ever started widespread testing in nursing homes, we'd see much the same. Why the prisons are considered more important, I don't know. Lawbreakers appear to rate higher than the elderly. Unless it's an elderly lawbreaker. The governor is considering releasing more prisoners.
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You expressed the unfairness of this before. Assuming that the absolute number of tests possible in a day is limited, then it makes sense to spend the testing where it can determine management, i.e. prisoners can be released, but how do you release nursing home residents? What would you do differently if you could test positive a nursing home resident?
With nursing homes, if one resident or staff is positive, then you can assume all staff and residents have been exposed since inadequate PPE is par for course.
 
This will be difficult. Your average politician will be looking to pass the buck with respect to reopening decisions to avoid being blamed when any subsequent uptick in infection rate occurs.
 
The social distancing and use of a mask were tools to "flatten the curve" and prevent the chance that we might over run the healthcare system. It is not a tool to guarantee that no one will ever get sick with the virus. If you fit the profile of an endangered person, quarantine until a vaccine is approved or a method of treatment is found to lessen the system or cure the disease.
 
Ready said:
Georgia just announced they are reopening their state as of Friday.

https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/ke...sses-to-reopen-in-georgia-amid-covid-19-fight
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Can’t make this stuff up. Direct quote from the article:

“Given the favorable data, Kemp said that gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, beauty shops and salons, barbershops, body art studios, and more would be able to open Friday, April 24.

Kemp said the reopening of these businesses "would not be business-as-usual" and would require companies to implement changes to ensure sanitation mandates and social distancing.”
 
Gumby said:
This will be difficult. Your average politician will be looking to pass the buck with respect to reopening decisions to avoid being blamed when any subsequent uptick in infection rate occurs.
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No surprise, really. I could see this coming weeks ago, as did many others here.
 
Markola said:
Can’t make this stuff up. Direct quote from the article:

“Given the favorable data, Kemp said that gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, beauty shops and salons, barbershops, body art studios, and more would be able to open Friday, April 24.

Kemp said the reopening of these businesses "would not be business-as-usual" and would require companies to implement changes to ensure sanitation mandates and social distancing.”
Click to expand...

What could possibly go wrong? I mean it's not like any of these businesses have to touch all their customers in order to do business. :facepalm::facepalm::facepalm:
 
P.S. said:
You expressed the unfairness of this before. Assuming that the absolute number of tests possible in a day is limited, then it makes sense to spend the testing where it can determine management, i.e. prisoners can be released, but how do you release nursing home residents? What would you do differently if you could test positive a nursing home resident?
With nursing homes, if one resident or staff is positive, then you can assume all staff and residents have been exposed since inadequate PPE is par for course.
Click to expand...

I don't know why they're bothering to release prisoners at all. The governor said it's to help with social distancing, but he also said there are nearly 50,000 prisoners just in the state prisons. Releasing a few hundred does nothing to allow social distancing. It's a joke. Therefore, why are they bothering to test the prison population? It's probably for data purposes. Is that a valid use for limited test kits vs. using them on the general population?

As far as nursing homes, as I've said, DS works in the kitchen of one. Long before they decided to restrict visitors it was probably too late. Too many vectors for entry, unless they had implemented a policy of no one in and no one out. Period. That would have been impossible.

His facility has no reported cases that we know of. However, another location in the same family-owned chain reported 16 cases last week, after the governor ordered that information to be made public. There was some controversy over the numbers, with nursing homes claiming that they were wrong (against their favor), so that info was taken down and will be replaced with corrected information on Wednesday. Do I believe that DS's location really has no cases? No. Until a couple of weeks ago, they routinely allowed staff to pick up extra shifts among all their locations. They stopped that, citing that they were trying to prevent the spread of COVID-19 between the locations. DS has only worked at the location with no reported cases.

Also, it made the local newspaper when a staff member was confirmed with it at a different-branded facility right up the street from our house. Yet that facility wasn't listed as having any cases on the initial list they put up on the state website. :facepalm:

FWIW, it's more a matter of curiosity to me to know if/when DS's facility has confirmed cases. I'm not pushing for anyone to be tested there or among the nursing home population. It makes no difference in DS going to work there or in any precautions we take for ourselves.
 
Rianne said:
Encouraging news about antibody testing and results. Saw a few news reports, had the family and patients interviewed, so it's legit. Desperately ill and elderly patients recovering.
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What does "Testing" have to do with "Desperately ill patients recovering"? How does the news link these two?
 
Markola said:
Can’t make this stuff up. Direct quote from the article:

“Given the favorable data, Kemp said that gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, beauty shops and salons, barbershops, body art studios, and more would be able to open Friday, April 24.

Kemp said the reopening of these businesses "would not be business-as-usual" and would require companies to implement changes to ensure sanitation mandates and social distancing.”
Click to expand...


Wish they would reopen them in my state.
 
Markola said:
Can’t make this stuff up. Direct quote from the article:

“Given the favorable data, Kemp said that gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, beauty shops and salons, barbershops, body art studios, and more would be able to open Friday, April 24.

Kemp said the reopening of these businesses "would not be business-as-usual" and would require companies to implement changes to ensure sanitation mandates and social distancing.”
Click to expand...

What favorable data?
 
New cases in our county have been 4/day for the last couple of days. The local hospital is participating in a program to treat patients with plasma infusion from people who have recovered. I believe 11 patients are candidates for this program currently. They are looking for volunteers to donate plasma.
 
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