Running_Man
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Sep 25, 2006
- Messages
- 2,844
OK, so I am a bit of a gambler, and it seems a small investment in the Kentucky Derby can help make an interesting retirement. Here is my outlook for tomorrows race:
Great speed horses in the presence of other great horses with speed cannot be slowed down, I expect this will be a very fast pace for this Kentucky Derby. Expect Dortmund, Carpe Diem and Materiality to break quickly and go out for the lead with American Pharaoh lurking closely right behind.
Coming up early Firing Line will begin to make a move on the leaders around the 3/8 point of the race and this will cause American Pharaoh to start to run, despite the fact Bob Baffert would prefer he hold back until the last 1/4.
By the 3/4 mile mark you'll have 5 horses bunched in front running with Upstart lurking about 5 lengths behind. At this point International Star and Frosted will begin to move up along the rail about 15-20 lengths back.
By the one mile mark American Pharaoh and Dortmund will be continuing in a duel and heading for home with the other speed horses fading, Upstart will be within a couple of lengths and International Star and Frosted will be moving into contention for the stretch run.
Running side by side American Pharaoh will suddenly pull up lame and Dortmund has an 1/8 of a mile to go. Frosted begins closing rapidly and gets second but amazingly Dortmund holds on with Upstart 3rd and International Star fourth.
Your program numbers 8-15-19-12
Great speed horses in the presence of other great horses with speed cannot be slowed down, I expect this will be a very fast pace for this Kentucky Derby. Expect Dortmund, Carpe Diem and Materiality to break quickly and go out for the lead with American Pharaoh lurking closely right behind.
Coming up early Firing Line will begin to make a move on the leaders around the 3/8 point of the race and this will cause American Pharaoh to start to run, despite the fact Bob Baffert would prefer he hold back until the last 1/4.
By the 3/4 mile mark you'll have 5 horses bunched in front running with Upstart lurking about 5 lengths behind. At this point International Star and Frosted will begin to move up along the rail about 15-20 lengths back.
By the one mile mark American Pharaoh and Dortmund will be continuing in a duel and heading for home with the other speed horses fading, Upstart will be within a couple of lengths and International Star and Frosted will be moving into contention for the stretch run.
Running side by side American Pharaoh will suddenly pull up lame and Dortmund has an 1/8 of a mile to go. Frosted begins closing rapidly and gets second but amazingly Dortmund holds on with Upstart 3rd and International Star fourth.
Your program numbers 8-15-19-12