It is not the neighborhood, it is the vehicle and whether or not it is garaged at night, parked on the street or in your driveway.
The people who are doing this for a business have a shopping list of 'desired' late model vehicles. Cars, SUV, pickups.
If they see one on their list in their travels they follow it back to where it is parked at night. On the street, in the driveway means they are back at 2AM to try their luck.
It is steal to order. These are not 'chop shop' or joy rider types. This is a large, organized cars for export business.
Out of your driveway, into a sea container, plates off, and when the container is full off it goes to port and on its way to Africa or the Middle East.
These stolen vehicles are not driven far. They may be in the container before you even wake up in the morning and report the vehicle stolen. Or sitting in an out of sight lot waiting to be loaded into a sea container.