.... Put in $290k at 90% stocks in June 2008, which promptly lost 50% by Feb 2009. Then gains and Covid and this 6 month and counting bear. Still became a millionaire and my CAGR for the 14 years is 5.49% after fees. Not the often advertised 8-10%, but it got the job done. Shows how SWR can hold up in a tough return environment. Took a little off the table after the Covid bounce so currently at 80% stocks. One more double and I will be out. Also have a much greater appreciation for sequence of return risk.
Portfolio | Initial Balance | Final Balance | CAGR | Stdev | Best Year | Worst Year | Max. Drawdown | Sharpe Ratio | Sortino Ratio | Market Correlation |
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Adm | $290,000 | $1,021,750 | 9.35% | 16.53% | 33.52% | -35.10% | -46.68% | 0.59 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
Well the bad news is I lost over $200k for -17.33%
The good news is I had $200k to lose and am putting in $3.5k per month
Guess I am the poster boy for market volatility and timing. I tried my hand at day trading and lost some money so agreed with DW to get an advisor to curb my tendencies.
Put in $290k at 90% stocks in June 2008, which promptly lost 50% by Feb 2009. Then gains and Covid and this 6 month and counting bear. Still became a millionaire and my CAGR for the 14 years is 5.49% after fees. Not the often advertised 8-10%, but it got the job done. Shows how SWR can hold up in a tough return environment. Took a little off the table after the Covid bounce so currently at 80% stocks. One more double and I will be out. Also have a much greater appreciation for sequence of return risk.
$290k invested in VTSAX (Total Stock) in June 2008 would be worth $1,021,750 at the end of June 2022... for a CAGR of 9.35% with dividends reinvested according to Portfolio Visualizer.
Jan 31, YTD -4.18%, stock AA 78.0%
Feb 28, YTD -3.22%, stock AA 73.8%.
Mar 31, YTD -0.18%, stock AA 74.7%
Apr 30, YTD -7.57%, stock AA 74.6%
May 31, YTD: -4.44%, stock AA 72.4%
Jun 30, YTD: -12.2%, stock AA 70.8%
June was a really bad month. It can only go up from here.
New month on the rise, old one almost in the record books.First day of full joint retirement. This is similar to my occured at the juncture of my retirement Apr. 1, 2020. SHTF for sure.
Below is monthly tracking of investments and cash, without performance numbers, just ups and downs, slings and arrows.
50/50 managed balanced fund (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RLBGX/) benchmark is -13.38 YTD. Our balance has decreased approx 13.5% since Jan 1.
We're prepared for another leg down in the market. My guess is at least -10% more to come for stocks. That YTD picture is bloodshot. https://finviz.com/map.ashx?st=ytd
Edit: Here's the lead story in Yahoo today: Stocks shake off losses after S&P 500's worst first half since 1970. Okay, rub it in for clicks!
-4.66% YTD. ~32/66/2 AA.
32/66/2 AA for Jan-Jun on Portfolio Visualizer was -13.76% so I'm pretty happy with -4.66%
-3.08% YTD. ~32/66/2 AA.
32/66/2 AA for Jan-May on Portfolio Visualizer was -10.57% so I'm pretty happy with -3.08%